Agnes Ngetich ran 14:01.29 in Chebet’s WR race and is clearly the class of the field in Brussels. Wavelight is set to Chebet’s WR (13:58.06), and there are 3 pacers: Purity Chepkirui, Winnie Nanyondo, and Janeth Chepngetich. Chepngetich will be key here: she’s run 8:23 for 3k (13:59 pace), but doing that on command as a pacer is a different story.
The weather looks conducive to 5k running—slightly breezy, but inside the stadium it might be a non-factor.
Do I think Ngetich is on Chebet’s level? No, but she’s run fast enough at 5k and 10k (road) and is strong at forging her own fast pace, so a WR attempt has to be taken seriously. I’d put it at ~20%.
