How fast could Jordan Hasay have run the Marathon in today's Super Shoes and fully doped to the gills with drugs like EPO?
ChatGPT said:
If Jordan Hasay had both:
State-of-the-art SuperShoes (like Nike Alphafly 3, Adidas Adizero Evo 1, etc.),
And was "fully doped to the gills" — meaning high-dose EPO, possibly steroids, blood transfusions, etc., mimicking the most sophisticated illegal doping regimes from the 1990s and 2000s...
Then her potential marathon time would be radically faster than her official 2:20:57. Let’s break down why and how far she might have gone:
🧠 Baseline: Jordan Hasay's Real PR (2017, Chicago): 2:20:57
At the time, she was:
Clean (as far as we know)
Wearing pre-SuperShoe tech
In excellent marathon-specific form
🚀 Add: SuperShoes Advantage
Running economy boost: 2–4%, occasionally cited up to 5% in ideal conditions.
In time:
3% boost → ~2:16:43
4% boost → ~2:15:19
5% boost → ~2:13:52
This already brings her near world record pace pre-2023.
💉 Add: Full EPO + Advanced Doping
Effects of EPO + doping:
Increased VO₂ max (up to 10–15%)
Higher lactate threshold
Faster recovery
Enhanced red blood cell mass & oxygen delivery
A rough estimate:
Illegal doping alone (no shoes) could yield 2–4% performance boost over 26.2 miles (likely even more, due to enhanced training load and recovery).
Combined with SuperShoes, this could compound to as much as 6–8% total improvement.
📊 Compound Gain Calculation
Start with 2:20:57 → 8,457 seconds
6% faster:
8,457 × 0.94 = 7,949 sec → 2:12:29
7% faster:
8,457 × 0.93 = 7,862 sec → 2:11:02
8% faster (ceiling):
8,457 × 0.92 = 7,781 sec → 2:09:41
🎯 Final Speculative Range
If Jordan Hasay had both modern SuperShoes and full-scale blood doping/EPO, she could have run:
🔥 2:09:30 – 2:12:30
This would obliterate the current women's world record and approach elite male times from the 1980s/1990s. For context:
Tsegaye Kebede (male) ran 2:06:10 in 2008.
Carlos Lopes (male) ran 2:07:12 in 1985.
🧬 Factors in Her Favor
Hasay has elite track credentials (e.g., 14:52 5k, 30:41 10k)
Excellent biomechanics and light frame (she might've absorbed less stress and trained harder while doped)
Strong aerobic base and long history of high-level competition
This is a speculative "if she doped" scenario, not a suggestion she ever did.
🏁 Summary:
Jordan Hasay’s peak marathon potential with today's SuperShoes and full-blown EPO-style doping:
🔮 Likely range: 2:10–2:12
🎯 Aggressive best-case: ~2:09:30
That would have made her not just the greatest American female marathoner, but potentially the fastest woman ever over 26.2 miles, well ahead of current clean records.
