Will Valby's 10K record get broken this year?

RFK Jr has worms in his brain wrote:

Valby's record of 30:50.43 has a good chance of being beaten this year.

New Mexico's Pam Kosgei ran 31:58.51 at the Don Kirby meet in Albuquerque at 5120 ft elevation. That converts to 30:41.31 (at sea level) with the altitude converter that I used. Kosegi also has a 31:02.73 that she ran a day after NC State's Grace Hartman soloed to a 31:20.60.

I am assuming that the two of them will not race until the NCAAs. I believe that if the weather is good that they will push each other and that one or both can beat the record.

l\'enantiomer wrote:

Unless Lemngole and Halladay-Lowry attack the collegiate record with pacers and wavelights at savethe10000 next weekend, the NCAA 10k record is probably safe for now. Regardless of whatever pace the leaders fancy in Eugene, I think Kosgei will simply race to win, rather than time trial and risk blowing up, and even if Hartman finds 31:00 fitness by June 11, she can't close a 10000m as quick as Kosgei. Big picture, Valby's 30:50 is already an irrelevancy. Kosgei, Lemngole and Hartman undoubtedly will be even stronger next year, as will Bunnage, Noe, Hedengren and others.

here is the point wrote:

l\'enantiomer wrote:

Unless Lemngole and Halladay-Lowry attack the collegiate record with pacers and wavelights at savethe10000 next weekend, the NCAA 10k record is probably safe for now. Regardless of whatever pace the leaders fancy in Eugene, I think Kosgei will simply race to win, rather than time trial and risk blowing up, and even if Hartman finds 31:00 fitness by June 11, she can't close a 10000m as quick as Kosgei. Big picture, Valby's 30:50 is already an irrelevancy. Kosgei, Lemngole and Hartman undoubtedly will be even stronger next year, as will Bunnage, Noe, Hedengren and others.

If Hartman can eventually get her 5k time below 15:03, then she will at least be able to graduate with a school record. Maybe she will get her name on the gym wall there, or something, if she can at least do that.

l\'enantiomer wrote:

Big picture… irrelevancy. Kosgei, Lemngole and Hartman undoubtedly will be even stronger next year, as will Bunnage, Noe, Hedengren and others.

rbtrackfan wrote:

I think a Valby fan just got their feeling hurt :)

l\'enantiomer wrote:

Unless Lemngole and Halladay-Lowry attack the collegiate record with pacers and wavelights at savethe10000 next weekend, the NCAA 10k record is probably safe for now. Regardless of whatever pace the leaders fancy in Eugene, I think Kosgei will simply race to win, rather than time trial and risk blowing up, and even if Hartman finds 31:00 fitness by June 11, she can't close a 10000m as quick as Kosgei. Big picture, Valby's 30:50 is already an irrelevancy. Kosgei, Lemngole and Hartman undoubtedly will be even stronger next year, as will Bunnage, Noe, Hedengren and others.

what in the whirled? wrote:

l\'enantiomer wrote:

Unless Lemngole and Halladay-Lowry attack the collegiate record with pacers and wavelights at savethe10000 next weekend, the NCAA 10k record is probably safe for now. Regardless of whatever pace the leaders fancy in Eugene, I think Kosgei will simply race to win, rather than time trial and risk blowing up, and even if Hartman finds 31:00 fitness by June 11, she can't close a 10000m as quick as Kosgei. Big picture, Valby's 30:50 is already an irrelevancy. Kosgei, Lemngole and Hartman undoubtedly will be even stronger next year, as will Bunnage, Noe, Hedengren and others.

With the fast approaching Outdoor Natty’s, doesn’t it seem a little ambitious for LHL to be chasing the 10000m collegiate record next weekend? Unless she’s bailing on the steeple.

what in the whirled? wrote:

I think 20yr-old Ayichew is my pick to win it.

save the 10000m wrote:

what in the whirled? wrote:

I think 20yr-old Ayichew is my pick to win it.

With more experience on the track, I think the older Lemlem Hailu takes it.

Link:save-the-10-000-with-des-and-kara.runn...

save the 10000m wrote:

save the 10000m wrote:

With more experience on the track, I think the older Lemlem Hailu takes it.

Link:save-the-10-000-with-des-and-kara.runn...

Ayichew ran a 14:32 in China this past weekend…👀

tuohy is a quitter wrote:

Valby is an Olympian. Tuohy is a has been.

what in the whirled? wrote:

what in the whirled? wrote:

With the fast approaching Outdoor Natty’s, doesn’t it seem a little ambitious for LHL to be chasing the 10000m collegiate record next weekend? Unless she’s bailing on the steeple.

This year Natty’s is six days later in the calendar year, so there is at least that.