Ben Rosario Says Conner Mantz Can Win The Boston Marathon

Connor was 8th in the Olympics. If those 7 ahead of him don't show up, I'd say he has a great chance of winning.

This post was removed. East Africa FTW!

I expect Conner to be burn himself out responding to every move, not wanting this to be another Paris where he didn't stick with it long enough. It will be a war of attrition and the smart runners will make it through. I wouldn't be surprised to see Clayton pass him.

I’m confused why are you talking with Ben Rosario about Mantz’s prospects in Boston. I thought Ed Eyestone is Mantz’s coach. Wouldn’t Eyestone be the better person to ask about Mantz?

I am hopeful, it's a conservative start ~ like a 62:30-64:00 first half. If that's the case it shifts into more of a half marathon type prospect. I trust Conner's wheels against Chebet at this stage. Kipchumba like Mantz hasn't really put it fully together in the full. Kotut isn't a great kicker, and I like Mantz's speed vs. Albert Korir as well. Kiplangat and Mateiko have been erratic in their recent full marathons.

The hardest guys I see him beating are Lemma and John Korir. Korir is an absolute beast who could do the same playbook as Chicago ~ big move the last 5-6 miles. Lemma is a monster, though maybe he's not 100%.

Yeah, Albert is out

If Lemma shows up fully healthy and fit, he's going to be really hard to beat

Big if, but I do think he's the best in the world on his day.

John Korir is another problem for Mantz. He is so good.

If Kenya was allowed to enter everyone with the Olympic standard and not just three guys, Mantz would have finished like 50th. They have six guys racing Boston plus Ethiopia has four, Mantz doesn't have a chance.

Yes. Ben says he can win. If he does, then it's "I told you so".

If he doesn't win, "I didn't say he'd win, I just said he checks all of the boxes".

You can't lose either way.

2x 1500 Olympic Gold

3:43 mile

3:46 mile WR

3k WR

Multiple hs sub 4 milers

Nothing is shocking me anymore!

Why do we continue to do this to ourselves over Mantz?

It's going to be another 8th & 9th place for Mantz and his bro Clayton.

I'd put Mantz's chances of winning somewhere around 10-15%, which is more than I'd have guessed a year ago. He's been in great form lately. It's shaping up to be a very exciting Boston year.