Is there a scenario where a 7:17 guy cannot win a 10K championship race? Sure. He's not adequately trained for 10K, or he is but for whatever reason he can't maintain enough of that 7:17 speed over 10000m.
5/10 guys have a different body type compared to 15/5 runners. I don’t see a guy that is 6’1””, 165 lbs, winning a 10000m gold medal.
idk I feel like after I watched Solinsky break 27 I stopped thinking so much about weight in the 10k. Maybe if it turned into a 26:20 race it'd matter, but the extra muscle Jakob has probably helps him more in the kick than it hurts him over the race. He ran 27:54 on the roads back in 2019 and closed like a freight train.
Jakob ran 27:54 on a cold hilly course in flats like 3 or 4 years ago -- pretty much all by himself. He was a 12:48 guy and what, a 3:28.6 then? Not sure what the conversions are with that, especially since hes now a 3:26 guy, a 7:17 and 7:54 guy (probably a 12:34 guy), with 3 world titles in the 5k under his belt. His training is literally optimzed for the longer races. Yes, he would win a championship 10k.
5/10 guys have a different body type compared to 15/5 runners. I don’t see a guy that is 6’1””, 165 lbs, winning a 10000m gold medal.
idk I feel like after I watched Solinsky break 27 I stopped thinking so much about weight in the 10k. Maybe if it turned into a 26:20 race it'd matter, but the extra muscle Jakob has probably helps him more in the kick than it hurts him over the race. He ran 27:54 on the roads back in 2019 and closed like a freight train.
Solinsky was not big when he won.
He slimmed down so much that season it seemed suspicious it contributed to the odd injury.
I don't see him losing in a race > 27 mins. Not sure how he would've fared this year with the fast pace - he did beat Aregawi by 4 seconds in a 3k but I don't think he would've beat him this year in a 10k.
I don't expect next year to be fast, so in the off chance he does contest he might just win the gold since Cheptegei isn't around anymore.
Assuming Cheptegei can run about 3:31, Ingebrigtsen loses most of his 5 second advantage by 5000m, which means he is slowing down at a faster rate as the distance is increased. There is no way for Ingebrigtsen to change that trend and the crossover will be not long after 5000m.
Assuming Cheptegei can run about 3:31, Ingebrigtsen loses most of his 5 second advantage by 5000m, which means he is slowing down at a faster rate as the distance is increased. There is no way for Ingebrigtsen to change that trend and the crossover will be not long after 5000m.
As we all learned from 1500m this year - this is not enough to actually beat Jacob in 10K