I remember some talk of this when he ran 1:45 and I thought it was way too early to tell, but after seeing the explosion of 800m times this year, I now think he will run 1:41 in the next 4 years. Keep in mind that now when I'm saying he's gonna run 1:41, you can't assume I'm saying he'll medal, or even that he'll come close to the AR. Also keep in mind Nico Young just ran 26:58 in the Olympic final like a week after turning 22.
I know a lot of people are gonna doubt me but I'm putting this one up there with my Hobbs Kessler will win Olympic Gold prediction in terms of conviction (like 80%). It would be like 95% if I could include Aaron but idek if he's gonna get to run at NAU so that will remain to be seen.