I think he should lead the race for the first 400-600 at 56 pace. Jakob will take the lead after that. Perhaps he even tells Jakob ahead of time. I know this helps JI, but it also helps Nuguse. He hates running in a pack and needs a 3:28 race to medal.
It was pretty interesting that Goose told Kessler his strategy for the semi. Pretty cool of him and it worked out great for both Americans. First time since 1968 that there are 3 Americans in the 1500 final! Should be epic
I think Nuguse's best strategy is to not lead/pace the race at all. He just needs to sit behind Jakob like he did at Pre and hang on and hope to beat Kerr.
This might actually be a good idea. Yared should take it out fast and if Jakob is on his shoulder, he should allow him to get ahead of him. This eliminates Hocker and perhaps Kerr because at that point Jakob will gun for 3:26-3:27. Reminder that Nuguse drafted off of Jakob and ran 3:43 high. If he is in the shape of his life, this could be a great strategy.
I think Nuguse's best strategy is to not lead/pace the race at all. He just needs to sit behind Jakob like he did at Pre and hang on and hope to beat Kerr.
I think he should go to the front at the start and then latch onto Jakob when he comes by.
That's an actually good post. I'm sure Jakob would be happy to go along with it, making it a 3:27-28 race. While I doubt it would kill Kerr, but it would be enough to separate the big 3 from the rest of the field (with the exception of Hocker, maybe) like what we saw at Pre.
This post was edited 2 minutes after it was posted.
This might actually be a good idea. Yared should take it out fast and if Jakob is on his shoulder, he should allow him to get ahead of him. This eliminates Hocker and perhaps Kerr because at that point Jakob will gun for 3:26-3:27. Reminder that Nuguse drafted off of Jakob and ran 3:43 high. If he is in the shape of his life, this could be a great strategy.
I'm not sure where the idea that Kerr cannot hang with a fast pace comes from. No, he hasn't been doing time trials recently, but when was the last time he was outright dropped in a race? You've got to go back several years, right?
This might actually be a good idea. Yared should take it out fast and if Jakob is on his shoulder, he should allow him to get ahead of him. This eliminates Hocker and perhaps Kerr because at that point Jakob will gun for 3:26-3:27. Reminder that Nuguse drafted off of Jakob and ran 3:43 high. If he is in the shape of his life, this could be a great strategy.
I'm not sure where the idea that Kerr cannot hang with a fast pace comes from. No, he hasn't been doing time trials recently, but when was the last time he was outright dropped in a race? You've got to go back several years, right?
It eliminates their huge acceleration that they usually have with 200m to go. You can't seriously expect Kerr to blow past Ingebrigtsen if he splits 2:46 high at 1200m. He might still be there, but it's going to be hard to pass anyone at that pace.
You gotta wonder how much they chatted about the race beforehand. They were playing Super Smash Bros a few weeks ago in St. Moritz, so they clearly get along off the track.
Jakob, Kerr, Cheryuiot, and Nuguse all need it to be fast to avoid an upset from someone like Hocker out kicking them the last 200. I just don’t see a situation where at least one of them doesnt take the lead right away knowing that and go out in 57 or faster.
I'm not sure where the idea that Kerr cannot hang with a fast pace comes from. No, he hasn't been doing time trials recently, but when was the last time he was outright dropped in a race? You've got to go back several years, right?
it isn't just about Kerr though.
Yeah but the poster was saying that perhaps Kerr would be eliminated at a 3:26-3:27 pace. They ran that pace for the final 1200 in their semi and Kerr looked as cool as a cucumber (Hocker looked pretty smooth too)
I think he should lead the race for the first 400-600 at 56 pace. Jakob will take the lead after that. Perhaps he even tells Jakob ahead of time. I know this helps JI, but it also helps Nuguse. He hates running in a pack and needs a 3:28 race to medal.
It was pretty interesting that Goose told Kessler his strategy for the semi. Pretty cool of him and it worked out great for both Americans. First time since 1968 that there are 3 Americans in the 1500 final! Should be epic
I couldn’t agree more. Of course you can’t be too rigidly set on any one strategy, since someone else could blast the first lap, but this should be plan A for Nuguse. And Diribe Welteji should do the same (at ~63) until Kipyegon takes over and begins winding it up.
Yeah but the poster was saying that perhaps Kerr would be eliminated at a 3:26-3:27 pace. They ran that pace for the final 1200 in their semi and Kerr looked as cool as a cucumber (Hocker looked pretty smooth too)
Agree with you on that. Kerr would still be there, and in fact he would still be the top 2 for sure, but the bronze would open up for Nuguse and perhaps Hocker as well, judging by how comfortable he looked today, relative to Komen.
Yeah but the poster was saying that perhaps Kerr would be eliminated at a 3:26-3:27 pace. They ran that pace for the final 1200 in their semi and Kerr looked as cool as a cucumber (Hocker looked pretty smooth too)
Running at 3:26-3:27 pace for the final 1100 is no where close to the same as running it for the full distance.
I believe that there is also a difference between running 3:26 pace EVENLY for the final 1200m vs running it with a negative split. An evenly split final 1200m at 3:26 pace is harder.
Yeah but the poster was saying that perhaps Kerr would be eliminated at a 3:26-3:27 pace. They ran that pace for the final 1200 in their semi and Kerr looked as cool as a cucumber (Hocker looked pretty smooth too)
Running at 3:26-3:27 pace for the final 1100 is no where close to the same as running it for the full distance.
Ok, well we don't have many more data points from Kerr other than that. Besides, everyone except for Jakob, Kerr, and Hocker were struggling to keep up (did you see Brian Komen flailing to catch up with them?). We know that Kerr can at least hang for 1200m...so I wouldn't expect him to be dropped before then.
Running at 3:26-3:27 pace for the final 1100 is no where close to the same as running it for the full distance.
Ok, well we don't have many more data points from Kerr other than that. Besides, everyone except for Jakob, Kerr, and Hocker were struggling to keep up (did you see Brian Komen flailing to catch up with them?). We know that Kerr can at least hang for 1200m...so I wouldn't expect him to be dropped before then.
Watch any diamond league with Kerr from last year. He was dropped by Jakob in every one.
You gotta wonder how much they chatted about the race beforehand. They were playing Super Smash Bros a few weeks ago in St. Moritz, so they clearly get along off the track.
Jakob, Kerr, Cheryuiot, and Nuguse all need it to be fast to avoid an upset from someone like Hocker out kicking them the last 200. I just don’t see a situation where at least one of them doesnt take the lead right away knowing that and go out in 57 or faster.
Cheruiyot is the only one with a 1:43. Yes, he can probably only run 1:44 now, but he has the wheels
This might actually be a good idea. Yared should take it out fast and if Jakob is on his shoulder, he should allow him to get ahead of him. This eliminates Hocker and perhaps Kerr because at that point Jakob will gun for 3:26-3:27. Reminder that Nuguse drafted off of Jakob and ran 3:43 high. If he is in the shape of his life, this could be a great strategy.
I'm not sure where the idea that Kerr cannot hang with a fast pace comes from. No, he hasn't been doing time trials recently, but when was the last time he was outright dropped in a race? You've got to go back several years, right?
Ok, well we don't have many more data points from Kerr other than that. Besides, everyone except for Jakob, Kerr, and Hocker were struggling to keep up (did you see Brian Komen flailing to catch up with them?). We know that Kerr can at least hang for 1200m...so I wouldn't expect him to be dropped before then.
Watch any diamond league with Kerr from last year. He was dropped by Jakob in every one.
Kerr has never cared about DL races though. He only peaks for championship races.
Idk, I think many people are still underestimating Kerr here.
I'm not sure where the idea that Kerr cannot hang with a fast pace comes from. No, he hasn't been doing time trials recently, but when was the last time he was outright dropped in a race? You've got to go back several years, right?
Because his PR is 3:29.
Hocker's PR is also just 3:30, but you think he can't break 3:30 or even 3:29 in Monaco?
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