World 1500 Power Rankings: Pre-Olympics Edition

Thanks for the update, think I mainly agree.

London has 11 of the above entered so it'll provide some decent final input. Especially interested in Laros, Nordas, McSweyn, Vermuelen to see if they look like finalists. Somehow I feel Laros could be a bit lower more in the 11-13 range simply because of his lack of racing - that 1000 was good but I'm glad he's in London for a real test

For sure, Laros faces a big test and he could definitely move around. This is a chance for a signature win for him, Gourley, Mills, Hoare maybe even Nordas or Stewy you'd think. I don't want to overrate the guy who wins too much because it does feel a bit like the caliber of the Rabat field as opposed to the other DL stops (Doha, Oslo, Pre) so far. Really did think Kerr would be in this one, and obviously no Wightman either so not the expected lineup from a couple months back.

Great analysis! These tiers are spot on imo.

Whoever can get thru the rounds expending the least amount of energy has the best chance of winning/medalling. If the top tier guys run each round to advance, and not to win or send a message to their competitors, than that to me is by far the most ideal strategy. Jakob going last to first in the last lap at Euros probably isn’t the best move now. Same with Hocker blasting a 3:34 in the first round at the US Trials. Both were completely unnecessary and can be the difference of being able to find that extra gear in the last 200 of the Olympic final.

I’m also so curious how the repechage rounds are going to play out. The Paris heat and the possible extra round will really test some of these competitors. Some can easily blast a 3:31 in a singular diamond league 1500 race, but how about after 3 rounds and still having to run a final?

Anyone know if we have the qualification process like how many Q from the heats, repechage, semis? IIRC last year in 1500 it was 6 Q from heats and semis but I guess repechage changes this?

Yeah the World Athletics timetable isn't clickable and I don't see the information anywhere. Best guess for the 800/1500?

1500:
45 qualifiers ---> 3 heats of 15 (may be 14 with late scratches)
6 Big Qs = 18 automatic guys.

27 repechage ---> 2 heats of 13/14
3 Big Qs = 6 further qualifiers to get to 2 semis of 12

800:

For the 800? They're going to 9 in the final presumably unless that waits until 2025 in which case scrap this.

6 heats of 8/9 (there are extra entries here beyond 48 i think)
3 Big Qs= 18 automatic guys.

30-36 Repechage --> 4 heats of 8-9
2 Big Qs + 1= 9 to get 3 semis of 9

The only one that I see can be upsetter in a race 3:30+ are Komen and Hocker.

Ok thanks, hopefully there is 9 in the 800; certainly more than enough quality for it

Will also say I'd wish they just do 4 heats of 11 or whatever for the 1500, as it becomes just a fall-fest when they insist upon these oversized first rounds to save 5 minutes of time. Not holding my breath, especially with the repechage now backstopping it so they don't have to advance fallers into the Semis. So, I'd bank on 3 big heats, and I'm kinda ready to be annoyed if the heats for the 800 aren't 8-9 and instead are 6-7 as sometimes happens.

I didn’t think Brian Komen made the Kenyan 1500m team?

He got 4th at the trials but supposedly Munguti didn't get the standard or have the ranking, so Komen's in. Makes things more interesting and it would've been a shame to have a 3:28 guy not running

source?

Good list, nothing else to add other than I agree with most of this

Ok nm it looks like he ran 3:33.7 and was just 1 person behind making it on world rankings

I don’t know why Nader isn’t higher. He made the final last year, was competitive at worlds during indoors, and set a big 3:30 or in Oslo. Yes, he had a rough Euros + Monaco, but I think he’s more likely to make the final than Stewy. He seems to be in Ollie Hoare range, where I don’t realistically see him medaling in current form, but also not an unlikely candidate for 5th-10th range in the final.

Fair. I haven’t liked the trajectory of his season, but there’s a chance it’s like Mario last year who scuffled in July after Oslo (bad at Spanish Champs/London DL) and then ran well at Worlds and after.

Fair. I haven’t liked the trajectory of his season, but there’s a chance it’s like Mario last year who scuffled in July after Oslo (bad at Spanish Champs/London DL) and then ran well at Worlds and after. I think you could argue he should be more around where I have Habz.

What's the point with that Niels Laros?

In 2024 I dont see (and none have seen) anything from him.

Here is the World Athletics List that show it all

worldathletics.org

Niels LAROS | Profile | World Athletics

Niels LAROS, Netherlands - 1000 Metres, 5 Kilometres Road, 800 Metres Short Track, Mile, 2000 Metres, 1500 Metres, 800 Metres, 5000 Metres, 3000 Metres

Link:worldathletics.org/athletes/netherland...

Even the world athletics is ranking Nader before him.

By the way I dont believe "aux contes de fees"...

"le petit chaperon rouge aux yeux bleues and cheveux blonds qui fait rêver les petites demoiselles."

It dosent works like that. Athletics is a harsh field that dont let any place to the dreamers of romance.

pls do this for the women