How will Valby place in Olympic 10000???

10th would be fantastic for her. I will guess something like 15th. I would favor both Americans, all of the ETH and KEN team, Hassan, Keith, 1-2 of the Ugandans and a few others over her.

DNS. She'll be partying in the Alps and miss the race.

And we’ll be told she sat out for her mental health so we can’t criticize her nonparticipation.

8th

18th

fixed

But you will have every excuse in the world when she finishes 8th.

Top 10 is probably her ceiling. I’ll say 12th.

A reasonable goal for her would be top American.

This scenario is set up perfectly for the haters. No matter where she finishes, she’ll probably get dragged here.

She could eliminate poverty, hunger, and win the Nobel Peace Prize and some turds would drag her for using ARC trainers and not running high mileage while accusing her of doping. That’s the kind of sh*tbirds that LRC actively encourages to generate clicks.

8th, 3rd, 20th, 14th, 66th, 5th, 7.22th, 9th, 22nd.....

It does not matter. She was, is, and always will be.....THE PEOPLE'S CHAMPION.

Currently, the WA site is showing only 26 participants in their 10000m list. 29 athletes are listed, but four from each of Kenya, Ethiopia, and USA:

worldathletics.org

Athletes | Paris-St-Denis 24 | Olympic Games

Other International Competitions, The XXXIII Olympic Games, Athletes

Open link

I’ve broken the athletes down into two tiers, listed with their Season Best and Personal Best times (SB/PB):

Beatrice CHEBET 28:54/28:54 K
Gudaf TSEGAY 29:06/29:06 E
Lilian Kasait RENGERUK 29:27/29:27 K
Margaret Chelimo KIPKEMBOI 29:28/29:28 K
Tsigie GEBRESELAMA 29:48/29:48 E
Sifan HASSAN */29:07 N
Fotyen TESFAY 29:48/29:48 E
Janeth CHEPNGETICH 30:05/30:05 K
Aynadis MEBRATU 30:09/30:09 E
Rahel DANIEL X/30:12 ER
Sarah CHELANGAT 30:24/30:24 UG
~~~~~~~
Weini KELATI FREZGHI 30:34/30:34 U
Parker VALBY 30:50/30:50 U
Nadia BATTOCLETTI 30:51/30:51 I2
Karissa SCHWEIZER 31:05/30:18 U2
Megan KEITH 30:37/30:37
Daisy JEPKEMEI 30:52/30:52 KA
Annet Chemengich CHELANGAT 30:38*/34:00
Rino GOSHIMA 30:53/30:53
Diane VAN ES 30:57/30:57
Lauren RYAN 30:36/30:36 A2
Haruka KOKAI 31:11/30:58
Klara LUKAN 31:13/31:13
Jessica MCCLAIN 31:35/31:35
Eilish MCCOLGAN 31:52*/30:01
Francine NIYOMUKUNZI 31:23/31:23
Joy CHEPTOYEK 32:32a/32:10
Yuka TAKASHIMA 33:33/30:57
Alessia ZARBO 33:18*/32:29

No matter what place, she has already had one of the most spectacular years of Running by a man or woman in NCAA history. Making it to the Olympics is a bonus at such a young age for a distance runner for the U.S.A.

The only thing is certain is:

Expect Great Things!!!

I agree that 10th-15th is the most likely range. In the last two world championships and the last Olympics, all three American women finished in the top 15. Natosha Rogers finished 14th last year in Budapest.

The hotter it is, the better her chances. People ahead will redline and drop out.

If guess 10-12 is the best we could hope for, but I’ll be cheering her and the other Americans on! Go Gators 🐊

Big gial don't get lapped

As is, the goals probably are:

1) Don’t get lapped (easiest)

2) Top 12

3) Top American (hardest, think Weini will get 8th-9th)

1. I'd make 3 tiers - the sub / low 29 runners should be by themselves

2. I could have sworn Rahel Daniel was DSD...

This hasn't been an issue her entire career at an SEC, I think this would have been an issue by now if it was a problem.

She'll be doing 720⁰ flips off the top of a Swiss Alp, then arrive in Paris dressed as a snow bunny. Top 10 finisher.