Newb here. So $100 on both nets you $10 if Thomas wins (+110 winning on Thomas, -100 from losing Sha’Carri)? And $50 if Sha’carri wins (+150 winning on Sha’carri, -100 from losing Thomas)? And I lose $200 if anyone else wins? This seems awful for a 10 second race if I understand it
Newb here. So $100 on both nets you $10 if Thomas wins (+110 winning on Thomas, -100 from losing Sha’Carri)? And $50 if Sha’carri wins (+150 winning on Sha’carri, -100 from losing Thomas)? And I lose $200 if anyone else wins? This seems awful for a 10 second race if I understand it
The race is 22 seconds
You could do it that way or you could balance it out by playing more on Gabby. For example, $136 on Gabby and $100 on Sha'carri. That would return basically $14 profit either way or a $236 loss.
Looking at it that way it's better to stick with the flat $100 on each side. You win $10 or win $50 or lose $200.
It's basically this prop:
Gabby Thomas or Sha'carri Richardson will win the 200: -700
I did this type of thing for 24 years in Las Vegas. I wouldn't do this one. The value isn't close to acceptable. The best scenarios are when you can with both wagers, not when you can lose both. For example, I played run line middles in baseball. That's when you take the favorite to win and the underdog +1.5 runs. But I only did it when at least one of the two prices was way off the proper number. In that scenario the risk was far below the return. During spring 1992 I had the luckiest gambling stretch of my life. Seven consecutive games hit the middle, with the favorite winning by exactly 1 run. I still laugh at the absurdity. I used the profit to fund a month long trip to Spain and attend the Barcelona Olympics.
Newb here. So $100 on both nets you $10 if Thomas wins (+110 winning on Thomas, -100 from losing Sha’Carri)? And $50 if Sha’carri wins (+150 winning on Sha’carri, -100 from losing Thomas)? And I lose $200 if anyone else wins? This seems awful for a 10 second race if I understand it
The race is 22 seconds
You could do it that way or you could balance it out by playing more on Gabby. For example, $136 on Gabby and $100 on Sha'carri. That would return basically $14 profit either way or a $236 loss.
Looking at it that way it's better to stick with the flat $100 on each side. You win $10 or win $50 or lose $200.
It's basically this prop:
Gabby Thomas or Sha'carri Richardson will win the 200: -700
I did this type of thing for 24 years in Las Vegas. I wouldn't do this one. The value isn't close to acceptable. The best scenarios are when you can with both wagers, not when you can lose both. For example, I played run line middles in baseball. That's when you take the favorite to win and the underdog +1.5 runs. But I only did it when at least one of the two prices was way off the proper number. In that scenario the risk was far below the return. During spring 1992 I had the luckiest gambling stretch of my life. Seven consecutive games hit the middle, with the favorite winning by exactly 1 run. I still laugh at the absurdity. I used the profit to fund a month long trip to Spain and attend the Barcelona Olympics.
I'd say it's more likely than 87.5% chance that either of them win. But it's not 99% either. For example: one false start, one lane violation, and then you're betting that they're so head and shoulders above the rest of the field the remaining one would win almost every time
I have seen the best lines on track though - Crouser was +100 at one point while Kovacs was -200. Must be because of how niche a sport it is, they basically just go by PR's
Newb here. So $100 on both nets you $10 if Thomas wins (+110 winning on Thomas, -100 from losing Sha’Carri)? And $50 if Sha’carri wins (+150 winning on Sha’carri, -100 from losing Thomas)? And I lose $200 if anyone else wins? This seems awful for a 10 second race if I understand it
The race is 22 seconds
You could do it that way or you could balance it out by playing more on Gabby. For example, $136 on Gabby and $100 on Sha'carri. That would return basically $14 profit either way or a $236 loss.
Looking at it that way it's better to stick with the flat $100 on each side. You win $10 or win $50 or lose $200.
It's basically this prop:
Gabby Thomas or Sha'carri Richardson will win the 200: -700
I did this type of thing for 24 years in Las Vegas. I wouldn't do this one. The value isn't close to acceptable. The best scenarios are when you can with both wagers, not when you can lose both. For example, I played run line middles in baseball. That's when you take the favorite to win and the underdog +1.5 runs. But I only did it when at least one of the two prices was way off the proper number. In that scenario the risk was far below the return. During spring 1992 I had the luckiest gambling stretch of my life. Seven consecutive games hit the middle, with the favorite winning by exactly 1 run. I still laugh at the absurdity. I used the profit to fund a month long trip to Spain and attend the Barcelona Olympics.
Yeah - the value on both of these athletes, Sha’Carri in particular, is obviously deflated because of name recognition. Her Vegas odds don’t reflect her “true” odds - she’s a superstar and people will bet her no matter what her odds are. The same reason you get ripped off on Tiger Woods or the home team if you bet with a local bookie. (I’m not actually a newb just wanted to see the genius strategy explained by the OP - though I did get the event wrong).
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