Drew Hunter - Is the year 2024 his best shot yet? Could he make team?

I think his best chance at top 3 is actually the 10K, but he doesn't have the standard and is currently unranked. I'm not sure where he'll be ranked if he places top 3, but I would guess he's going to have to run a fast time if he wants a shot at getting in on ranking. His 5K he was destroyed by Nur on the last lap and he lost to Teare on the roads, which doesn't look great considering they are two of his main rivals to make the team.

Has he fixed that hitch in his stride yet? If he hasn't, then absolutely not.

There's no way Drew beats Wolfe in any type of race. ZERO percent chance.

0? Really? Are you willing to give me 100 to 1 odds since it is zero? I will bet you $25. Others will likely also want to bet. It is guaranteed money for you if there is a zero percent chance.

It's just a hunch, but I think Drew will do something special.

He's got Dad Strength now...people need to be careful ripping on him.

He doesn't have a 5,000 world ranking. Does anyone what marks he'll use in the rankings and where he'd end up assuming he's top 3?

Anything's possible, but his chances are very, very, very slim.

Fisher is making the 10K team and doubling - which means at least 2 out of the 4 of Nico, Woody, Chelimo, and McGorty run the 5

I think 1 of the 3 of Teare, Hocker, and Nuguse (almost definetely Teare) miss the 1500, so he runs it.

And than Nur is still there. And Beadlescomb

Thats 5, maybe 6 guys he won't beat.

His only chance would be:
Somehow, Nico, Woody, and Chelimo beat Fisher in the 10 and scratch the 5

Teare, Hocker, and Nuguse all make the 1500 team and scratch the 5

Which is so improbable.

Lol totally clueless comment

If Tinmom has been slipping some EPO into the juice boxes and fruit snacks she brings to TME practice, then I think he has a good chance. Otherwise I don't see how he factors into the race.

Here are my picks for the men's race. I'm assuming neither Hocker nor Nuguse will run it.

1. Teare
2. Fisher
3. Kincaid
4. Wolfe
5. Young
6. Hunter
7. Muhumed
8. Nur
9. Hacker
10. Beadlescomb

I agree with the OP that Hunter has an outside shot -- like a 5% chance -- at 3rd. However, even if he were to pull it off, he does not have the Olympic qualifying time. Unless he makes it on rankings (which I doubt will happen), he won't be on the team.

Nur is criminally low in your post. I have him top 3. Kincaid has not raced since the 10. That is concerning to me. Wolfe beat Nico at NCAAs and is clearly on one this year but I wouldn’t be surprised if Nico gets him at the trials. Beadlescomb is a dark horse and also criminally low in your list IMO. He has the standard and has a good kick.

Sorry to have committed so many crimes! Coming into this year I was really big on Nur -- I thought he had a great chance of winning the Trials -- but I've been unimpressed by his outdoor season. He was only 14th at The TEN in 27:17. And I was dismayed by how poorly he ran in the NY Grand Prix last week. Here are the results of that race:

1. Jake WIGHTMAN 11 JUL 1994 GBR 3:34.01
2. Eric HOLT 12 MAY 1995 USA 3:34.05
3. Hobbs KESSLER 15 MAR 2003 USA 3:34.41
4. Vincent CIATTEI 21 JAN 1995 USA 3:34.62
5. Grant FISHER 22 APR 1997 USA 3:34.90
6. Eduardo HERRERA 23 SEP 1997 MEX 3:35.29
7. Luke MCCANN 12 MAR 1998 IRL 3:35.51
8. Jesse HUNT 28 JUL 1998 AUS 3:36.17
9. Morgan BEADLESCOMB 01 JUN 1998 USA 3:36.43
10. Abdihamid NUR 14 OCT 1997 USA 3:38.49
11. Benjamin FLANAGAN 11 JAN 1995 CAN 3:39.38
12. Mason FERLIC 05 AUG 1993 USA 3:40.23

With his leg speed, Nur should be ahead of Fisher (let alone guys like Herrera, McCann and Hunt whom I've never heard of) in a 1500.

I share your concerns about Kincaid not racing recently, but he seems to always comes through in big races like this.

The Trials 5 will go out slowly. It won't go out as slowly as NCAA's. Highly doubt Wolfe finishes Top 5.

I'm assuming you have Chelimo scratching? If he runs, he finishes top 5

Teare is not beating Fisher over any distance greater than 2k

And yeah, Nur takes Top 5 if he runs (probably)

I don’t think Nico is running this one. I like Nur to be a factor but do like Fisher and Teare 1 and 2. Also don’t ever count out Graham Blanks.

Sit and kick 10k he might be able to get the third spot

Dude you can't say Nur ONLY ran 27:17 when Drew Hunter ran 21 seconds slower (27:38) on that same day.

Nur ran a 1500m PB of 3:35 in May.

Nur ran a 10k PR and a 1500 PR this year but you think he is going to be WORSE at the 5k than he was last year?

No he won't be making the team. He can't get a World Ranking high enough in either event from the Trials without running the standard in either event. His only shot would be to get top 3 in the 10k and find another 10k to run a week later to get the standard, which I don't think he's good enough to do.

Based off his age of 26 this is his best shot to make the team. He is not good enough to make the team, though.