Was going through old Nico Young threads the last couple days, and it seems like at various points in the last 5 years, consensus has ranged all the way from 3k/5k guy with serious 1500 potential in a strength race, to a marathoner with too little speed to have a real chance on the track. After his indoor season, I don't think anyone doubts his speed.
Now that he's won the 3k/5k at NCAAs closing in 1:54/sub-4, run 3:57 at 7k feet, run 12:57, and run 26:52 in a stacked race beating everyone except Fisher, what is his best event?
I think his best shot to make the Olympic team is in the 10k because he has the standard, but the more I think about it, it might end up being his best event. His PRs at age 21 are incredibly Rupp-esque. Rupp's PBs were 1:49.87/3:50.92/7:30/12:58/26:44. Nico's are 1:49.61/12:57/26:52, and he's probably close to 3:50/7:30 shape based on his 3:57 at altitude and his 5k/10k times. Even coming off a season where he was trying to win a championship 3k/5k double, he was able to drop a 26:52 with a kick.
His 26:52 was nuts, not just for the time, but for the people he beat. Sure, he was in peak shape because he was coming off NCAAs, but all the pros in that race were peaking too. Fisher didn't run World Indoors so he could focus on this race, and I'd be shocked if he wasn't in sub-26:40 shape. He ran 8:03/12:51 indoors, just off the WRs. He'll be better outdoors, but I'm sure Nico will be too. His confidence shocked me. In his prerace interview, he was absolutely sure he was in sub-27 shape, and in his postrace interview, he said he knew at 5k that he was gonna break 27.
With that said, could he be competitive in the marathon or 5k? He's got better PBs than all of our marathoners now, and he reminds me of Mantz in the way they both seem to hurt all the time. Young's 10k was better than his 5k, but his 5k was in January. This calculator with his 800/10k times puts him at 12:52. He's looked better than Grijalva and Nur so far this year. 12:52 doesn't sound unreasonable to me after that 10k. If the 5k this year is slow till Jakob makes it a fast mile (like the last 2 years), how does Young fare there compared to the 10k? Also, he said he wanted to do a 1500 next. Could he run something there that changes your mind?