Noah Lyles will win X gold medals and run X.XX in 2024 - Predictions for Noah Lyles 2024 Season

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Bye Bye Indoors + Guests Noah Lyles & Lance Brauman

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Noah Lyles, the 100m and 200m world champion, is our special guest at 82:23, along with his coach Lance Brauman at the 101:29 mark. We observed a day of training of their Pure Athletics group, after Noah returned from wrappin...

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The fact that Brauman is openly saying that 19.12 or 19.15 is possible is huge. People seem to forget that this is the coach of the American record holders in the 100 and 200. To say that he knows what he is talking about would probably be an understatement.

I say 9.71 and 19.14. Gold in the 200m and 4x100. The 100 might seem crazy but 6.43 is far beyond what I ever imagined he would run in the indoor 60m.

100m Gold- 9.65

200m Silver- 19.50

4x100m Gold

His gains from his impressive indoor season come at a price resulting in losing a touch of his 200m strength.

X=9?

I don't follow him really closely. I think he should be very strong in the 200m- but DeGrasse can't be counted out. 100m always competitive.

Anything can happen in the relays. I think he gets at least 2 medals, probably both gold. But even that isn't easy.

Since Lyles has run a 9.83 basic last year with a much slower early 60m I think he could go 9.75 up to 9.72 with a decent tailwind this year.
The problem with the 200m is he is going to be running on legs with numerous races in them by the time he’s running in the finals. I don’t think he breaks his PR in the Olympic finals. Probably goes 19.35 to 19.45. If he PR’s this year it comes in a one off performance before or after the Olympics.

Is 100 success coming at the expense of the 200 a real thing? Or more of an old wives’ tale?

I really don’t know the answer but do know Bolt was really good at both. Tyson’s Gay got the Worlds double before him, so did Justin Gatlin and Maurice Greene. Carl Lewis did it as well.

Now there are years for sure guys attempted it and failed . I should calculate how often the person who won the 100 was in the 200 and won it as well.

Noah also is more like Bolt - a 200 guy moving down. That might make keeping success in the 200 harder as he is bulking up but curious on others thoughts.

I think Rojo needs to let go of his one random shot-from-the-hip prediction over a year ago. Then it won't be "bad" for Rojo when Lyles wins a boatload of medals and sets records in Paris this year.

Why can't Rojo just make a new prediction ?

This thread is waaaaaayyyyy premature.

The great thing about sprints, that you distance guys don't seem to get, is that anybody can win on any given day, anybody can get injured on any given day, there is no predictable season trajectory like in distance, etc.

You train to try to get some sort of a rational trajectory, but you get derailed by all sorts of things. Clean 100/200 athletes are always on the brink of disaster, you hope to toe the line but never cross it. One of a coach's main duties is to keep athletes reined in, to pull them back from that line, to try to maintain some smoothness to the season. Championship coaches have an easier time of this, which is why you see championship sprinters doing very well relative to their peers--because the noise and irregularity and psychological disturbance of competition is avoided.

Among the guys, nobody like that really comes to mind right now. Among the women, of course it would be the Jamaicans.

Let's see Lyles put up some outdoor results, let's see his proposed schedule, etc before trying to guess what he will be able to do.

IMO this should be the season of Lyles-Tebogo-Seville, and just maybe some other Americans like Bromell, Kerley, etc. mixed in for spice.

I’ll say:

3 golds (his 60 time bodes very well for the 100).
9.75 100m

19.25 200m

I don’t think Gay, Bolt, Powell, Gatlin, or Blake were clean, so I’ll consider both of those times WRs.

I ll bite, even though I have very limited knowledge in the sprinting area.

100m 9'81"

200m 19'42"

1 Gold in Paris, 200m

Close second in the 100m, somebody drops the baton in the 4x1.

4x4 is a ?

Only realistic post so far.

9.79 gold

19.37 silver behind Tebogo

4x100 gold

4x400 DNS

I don't think 100 success takes away from 200 success but I'm wondering if changes he made to his training to excel in the 60 could.

I don't think we've witnessed a defending 200 champion put such a strong focus on an indoor campaign. Maybe this will ultimately benefit him and will encourage others to follow suit?

On a side note- I feel indoor is growing quickly at the youth and high school level. There's potential in innovating and growing the sport through this environment.

100m silver - 9.81
200m silver - 19.45
4x100m DSQ - dropped baton

Well we know that Gay, Powell, Gatlin, and Blake were dopers. But do you really think Noah could be hypothetically clean? With those times, and our 100 m history?

As for rojo's prediction: not crazy at all (but unlikely). He could get popped or injured before the Olympics, he could get a false start in the 100 or beaten by Jacobs or Tebogo, get beaten by De Grasse or Tebogo in the 200, and DQ'd in the 4x 100. So many possibilities...

However, I bet X = 2.

9.73 and 19.28

No matter how fast N Lyles sprints 100m, summer, 2024, bet the field, 100m dash. N Lyles is not a natural 100m athlete. N Lyles may not even medal, 100m.

More likely than not, N Lyles will medal, 200m. He may earn Olympic gold, 200m.

My math formal education tell us, bet the field, 200m dash also. Anything can happen. Time mix-up. We have seen that. Slight injury. We have seen that. Medical not directly related to T&F. We have seen that.