Jakob Ingebrigtsen vs Kelvin Kiptum in 10.000m race

This is wild, isn't it? Both cases: 10.000m track and 10km road. The kenyan ran 27'52" the last 10 km of a marathon, while it's unknown what the numbers of the norvegian are in this distance.

gonna put my money on Jakob. there isn't really any evidence on either of them to help figure this out though. I believe jakob can run 26:30-40, but maybe it's a distance too far. I don't have faith in Kiptum's track speed without even seeing a really good half time. As far as i can tell he's just a freak who can hold close to his top speed for a VERY VERY long time.

Tough call

Jakob probably runs 10000 in 26:00-26:30 in a time trial. While Kevin runs in 26:30-26:45. Either way Jakob would out kick Kevin.

The more interesting question is Kiplimo vs Ingebritsen

If Kiplimo had the same conditions as Ingerbristen there would no comparison about it.

Just look at the annual salary of the ex President of Harvard. It is equivalent to 30 or 40 years earning of a good state employee in Africa.

the TrackBot AI analysis engine I wrote thinks Jakob would dust Kiptum over 10K, which makes sense. 15K might be a fairer fight

Result here:

https://hpr.github.io/match/#a...

Kiptum, like other human beings, needs to be capable of sub-26:30 to run 2:00.

Jakob is not getting anywhere near 26:00. He has shown nothing to indicate that he can run under 26:30.

26:0x could be possible. He’s a 2x world champ at 5k and had to beat multiple low 12:40 guys

No it is not possible. Jakob will NEVER run under 26:20. You guys have rich fantasy lives. Maybe you have no experience with this sort of thing. Mo Farah also beat many 12:45ish runners, and yes Mo could have run 26:35 or so, but we know he never did.

Agreed, lol @ penciling Jakob in for a 26:0x. But I suppose if Fisher can run 26:3x he is good for like 26:2x.

Narve nordås mentioned that Jakob (in september 2020) ran his 10 x 1 km at 2.40 pace with 2.0 in lactate.

it seems like a pretty strong indication to me….

that right there is why i feel like he should train to pull of the 2004 ElG move. 1:45-1:47 first 700, and then without being anywhere close to lactic, just rip off a 1:46/7 final 800 to beat down the field.

That is practice. It doesn’t tell me much.

This TrackBot Is actually predicting a 26'17" for Kiptum and a 26'48" for Ingebrigtsen. So i would say the opposite: Kiptum dust Ingebrigtsen.

This is likely correct. Physiologically I'd think to run 2:00:35 by yourself basically the whole way you'd have to be in 26:00-26:10 shape in the 10,000. Jakob I feel is too heavy to run that pace that far.

What has Cheptegei run? 26:11. Hasn't Jakob handled him rather easily in 5k races?

I'm saying Jakob and it's a race I really want to see!

What a matchup, even in a road 10K. The miler vs the marathoner.