Jakob´s interview post Lausanne indicates a fast time in Silesa

He won't get near low 3:26, not soon at least.

However, longer term he has to believe, and then it may be possible.

When he runs 3.28 in the middle of a training period in St Moritz with an off day , I am pretty sure he will be at 3.26

he has the endurance, just need to be bolder in his first 3 laps

The pacers have been bringing him out too slowly to challenge the 1500m record. El G averaged 54.8, which is 1:49.6 for 800m. Akbache has been going out in mid 55 and then tacking on 56 or just under. So, he's been running 1:51.x at 800m, already 1.5-2.5 seconds slow with 700m to go. He doesn't want to be getting out super fast like Tim or Asbel used to do, but he needs low 1:50 to run 3:26 because he's not likely to close in 53 like Ryun or Cram, so he needs to be close to 54.8-55.0 pace all the way.

You do understand that the pacers have been bringing him out too slowly to challenge the 1500m record because he cannot challenge it. I suppose if only Jakob ran his first 800m a second faster, then he would be fresher for his final 700m so he could also run that stretch faster. That makes a lot of sense…

You are making the same mistake about Jakob as other posters who are biased against him.

You think you can judge him from some few races this year where he wasn´t close to the 1500m WR but do you realize that your opinion is "colored" because you don´t wish that he breaks the 1500m WR.

But if you had a neutral point of view you should take into consideration that he probably wasn´t on his VERY best neither in Oslo (not fully recovered from the 2 mile) nor in Lausanne (has reportedly been training hard recently)

AND THAT HE REPORTEDLY HAS SAID THAT HE WILL TRY PEAK FOR SILESIA (which is the subject of this thread).

But let me give you a challenge: What do you think is the fastest time he can run in Silesia if the conditions are good (weather, pacing)?

I say sub 3:27.

Running 3:28 on tired legs is kind of crazy. 3:26.9 coming.

Jakob is very realistic about the 1500. During the Thursday press conference he was asked which is the toughest world record among 1500, 5000 and 10,000. Without hesitation he named the 1500 and the difficulties of reaching 3:26 flat.

Then he offered the same theme as a few weeks earlier, that he knows it's a stepladder approach. Jakob concluded his remarks by saying hopefully one day he'll be able to go under 3:27

It didn't seem like he thought it would be anytime soon. But if he does ask for a fast pace that will be the goal...dipping barely below 3:27.

And youre woefully overestimating his abilities.The only way he will ever achieve what you believe he will achieve is through industrial strength, full on doping.If hes natty(which i strongly doubt) hes gonna end up falling way short,he wont break records,and he'll be beatable.Next thing youll be saying hes gonna hold every record from 800 meters to the marathon,and i can assure you,that'll never happen.

1:50.xx minimum at 800m and 2:46 at 1200m. El G had Graham Hood and another Kenyan to pace with those splits when he ran 3:26.XX the second time. They also need some big guys pacing up front to really break the wind. Brom Som and Graham Hood were thick dudes to break the wind.

I dunno why they're getting these tiny guys doing the pacing these days.

He was definitely on his A-game in Oslo when he ran 3:27.95. I think anyone who believes he will go sub 3:27 this year is being a bit delusional. Maybe a 3:27.5 is possible in a Monaco setting, but anything more than that this year is very unlikely to happen. The biggest issue is that he is not able to take risks since he always has to front run the last 500m and leave something in the tank to close the last 100m like he has every race this year. Remaining undefeated to him seems more important than doing a hail mary for that sub 3:27.

You think his season peak is mid june while championships are in August?

Idiot post of the week.

He had backed off in training and had two races under his belt at that point, so yes. You're saying he can also run a sub 7:50 2 mile later this year?

The low IQs here are trying to tell us that if Jakob could only run his first 800m faster then this would permit him to run final 700m faster. It must be nice to be an idiot.

Why on earth would he peak for Silesia?

Looking like a sub 3:27

Good time to take a shot at the WR

Don’t get me wrong. I think Jakob is a once in a lifetime
force in Track & Field. I feel his 7:54 2-mile may be the greatest
performance of all time. But I don’t see him breaking El-G’s 1500-meter record
unless he changes his tactics. Instead of blasting the last 100 meters he needs
to blast the last 200 meters. I know that can be riskier if your goal is to win
every race but if his goal is to be a legend, he needs to do that.

I put the following in the legend category:

Herb Elliot for never losing a mile race, having the
world record and being the Olympic champ
Snell for the way he ran, the world records and the 3
golds
Daniel Komen for the records he set in the short time he
ran
El-G for his 1500 and mile WRs and his golds
Bekele for his unsurpassed cross-country victories, WRs
and his golds
Kipchoge for his never to be beaten marathon number of
victories

All the legends took chances and won. It seems to me you
are remembered for your world records not a gold medal at the world
championships. I’m rooting for Jakob but in my mind he’s not there yet.

I barely broke 3:29 . . .

but was tired . . . therefore I can break 3:26 . . . . makes no sense.