Just ran a half-marathon personal best in okay conditions, all alone 60:18 in Vancouver.
Has run 2:07:09.
Is looking for a personal best (story on homepage).
The marathon will be streamed at 4:00 PM PST LA/Seattle/Vancouver time and 7:00 PM EST New York/Toronto time.
He has gone "after it" with poor and excellent results, high risk/high reward efforts. Why not?
I am calling 2:05:55 if the weather is perfect and he has close competition the entire way.
The current forecast appears to suit the temperate rain-forest-dwelling runner with clouds and lows and highs of 8-12C.
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I feel like with the workouts he has posted, 4:50/mi should be no problem, so a 2:06:30. I bet he's capable of better, but race day issues and all, that would be my guess. Wouldn't be surprised anywhere from 2:03:59 - 2:10. Faster and I would go crazy, slower and he was over training and peaked wrong.
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Don't know how much trust you have in the World Athletics points performance ratings. I think they are pretty good. His 60:18 doesn't quite equate to his 2:07:09, but the playing field was different at Worlds in Eugene and the plan, I am sure was not to peak for the half....
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2:06.10 just 3 seconds off his buddy and former training partners (Galen Rupp) time of 2:06.07
When everyone was saying he was done I was saying his 27:07 speed for 10000 gives him 2:05-206 Potential
He should have people to run with as Japan Running news tweeted Yesterday thare are 56 people entered in the race who have run UNDER 2:10 and some have gone 2:03-2:04
Saturday should be a great night for running fans with the Tokyo Marathon AND Sound Runnings The Ten which will likely produce VERY FAST 10000's I can't wait.
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DNF
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So hard to predict. He is primed for an amazing race day, but who knows what the strategy is. If he is sticking with a pack, will they stay consistent and help each other run a fast time? I'm not sure how many Japanese runners are shooting for a similar goal, but I would have to think there would be quite a few. And I would like to think they are very consistent and steady runners.. so if he is in a solid group for the majority of the race I would say 2:06 low.
I'll definitely be watching this on Saturday.
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There are a few 2:05:00-2:07:00 Japanese and a few Africans of course. You'd think he should have company most of the way.
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2:06:50
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Wetcoast wrote:
There are a few 2:05:00-2:07:00 Japanese and a few Africans of course. You'd think he should have company most of the way.
Yeah apparently only one men's pace group set towards 2:04:30 or so. Not sure how this will work out for those targeting times slightly slower let alone guys in the 2:10 range
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Is that Droddy in a promo photo? Is he sporting a Saucony logo again?
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2:06:21
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Wasn't it from Chandler 2020?
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Wetcoast wrote:
Wasn't it from Chandler 2020?
Is that where it was taken? I guess you noticed the picture too and suspect you may be right on. Why was is posted on LRC seemingly in conjunction with Tokyo?
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At least a couple of Cam watch parties on the Island. Unusual to have a major marathon event at a watchable hour on the west coast.....
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Any live tracking links?
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Is there any official Tokyo marathon thread?
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douglas burke wrote:
2:06.10 just 3 seconds off his buddy and former training partners (Galen Rupp) time of 2:06.07
When everyone was saying he was done I was saying his 27:07 speed for 10000 gives him 2:05-206 Potential
He should have people to run with as Japan Running news tweeted Yesterday thare are 56 people entered in the race who have run UNDER 2:10 and some have gone 2:03-2:04
Saturday should be a great night for running fans with the Tokyo Marathon AND Sound Runnings The Ten which will likely produce VERY FAST 10000's I can't wait.
Lol, way to put “everyone” in there!
No, everyone was NOT saying he was done. I love this forum, there is so much gloating over nothing it’s truly almost funny!;)
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Race is about to start. I've turned this into the official discussion thread. It initially was entitled, "Cam Levins Tokyo Marathon predictio thread."
Here is the streaming / tv info.
https://www.marathon.tokyo/en/media/press-release/pdf/230303_release_01en_1.pdf
Not sure if there is a free stream with a VPN but the VPN we use can be found here:
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