Just ran a half-marathon personal best in okay conditions, all alone 60:18 in Vancouver.
Has run 2:07:09.
Is looking for a personal best (story on homepage).
The marathon will be streamed at 4:00 PM PST LA/Seattle/Vancouver time and 7:00 PM EST New York/Toronto time.
He has gone "after it" with poor and excellent results, high risk/high reward efforts. Why not?
I am calling 2:05:55 if the weather is perfect and he has close competition the entire way.
The current forecast appears to suit the temperate rain-forest-dwelling runner with clouds and lows and highs of 8-12C.