I mean its definitely a possibility. If Jakob doesn't think that he is in shape to do it, why would he attempt it? The indoor world record was run by Komen but Getnet Wale was just a few milliseconds off of it and we all know that Jakob is certainly a different caliber of athlete compared to Wale. I think he gets it but just barely, 7:24.56
I think he'll get it. There was that race last year or two years ago where multiple people were quite close. A lot of guys have run sub 7:30 who aren't at all on Jakob's level. I think this is a legitimate record attempt, if he does miss it it will not be by much. He is a great 1500 runner and 5000 runner, this could possibly be his best distance at the moment.
He ran 7:27.05 in 2020. Since then he's run 12:48 and a WC gold at 5000m in dominating fashion, so I think that he can do it, but it will require good pacers, who would have to reach 2k around 4:57, which doesn't happen often these days, and good competition like Wale would help.
Fisher needs to be in this race so he can break the US record and have a go at the world record as well.
Fisher would need one race before as a tune-up. Unsure if that works with his schedule.
I don't think Fisher has the wheels to go 7:24 indoors. He ran 7:28 with perfect conditions & pacing in Monaco, tough for me to see him being sharp enough to lop 4+ seconds off of a stellar PB that early in the season for a 5k/10k guy.
The 5,000 WR is there for the taking for Fisher imo. 12:49 by Bekele, Fisher ran 12:53 last year with most of the work coming in the last 2,000. Given how fast indoor has gotten lately + pacing lights, I expect the 5,000 record to fall this year, but Fisher may not get to it first if someone like Aregawi gives it a crack.
It makes it sound a bit easier if he starts conservatively and pushes the last 1200m.
60/60/60/60 (4:00 1600m, 4:01.7 mile pace) then 59 for 4:59 at 2k, 59 to 5:58 at 2400m, 58 to 6:56 at 2800m, close in :28.xx for 7:24 and the record. Those are splits that would suit Jakob well. 60s aren't much faster than his 5000m pace, while 4:59 is 9 seconds slower than his 2k best. He can close in 27 in fast 1500s, so I think he can close in 28 with the slower pace. Even so, that last 1400m would be about 3:54 mile pace.
Wish Fisher and Kerr would enter and try and stick with him as much as possible. They would both annihilate the US and UK records
Dont think Kerr has the better chance out of UK. Think that would be Scott. Really thought Scott would get the British 5000 outdoor record this year but I guess injuries...
That is one of the most difficult records in all of track and field apart from the outdoor 3k and the 100m. Bekele in 2007 said that it is “possible on a special day if the pace is good and if everything else also is perfect." He will have to be juiced to the gills and have great pacesetters.