I feel confident that I could outrun 99% of police officers. However, judging by all the pigs with hair triggers out there, I'd say there's a 50-50 chance that I would be shot several times in the back and served with a bogus "assaulting an officer" charge while I lay dying in the hospital.
A small number of law enforcement in U.S. were great h.s. athletes. If one can sprint sub-26, sub-29.5 and sub-31, most likely you can outrun 99% of U.S law enforcement. Beware: There have been sub-3:50 miler& sub-1:44 800m men.
In my younger days I ran from the cops a few times, always successfully. The two most “intense” scenarios involved 1) me primarily prowling through the backyards of a neighborhood while the cops drove the streets looking for me and 2) sprinting across a large grass field between some university buildings on the Iowa State campus while a cop pursued me on foot yelling “Police - stop!” On that second occasion I hid behind some folded bleachers behind the rec center with my heart racing, and a cop car pulled up, the cop got out and shone his flashlight through the bleachers, and if he’d said “Ok come on” I was ready to emerge apologetic with my hands up but apparently he did not see me, and left.
Listen to a police scanner app sometimes, most runners get away. Unless you're suspected of a violent crime, they won't waste many resources trying to find you. They only show the one's they catch on Cops.
I always got away on foot and on bicycle, but it was plain as day who I was, as I was a 12-year-old kid riding the same bike the next day. Unless you've just killed someone they really don't care, they're just going through the motions.
One summer I was tossing lit firecrackers into a dumpster, loud boom and all. Well, you can image what happened. This time I just sat down and watched as the fire truck showed and they sprayed a couple hundred gallons of water. Police drove by, looked at me, and kept going. Make of that what you will.
I've done it successfully. It was in 1983. In the middle of a deal when the cops come flying in and jump out of their cars yelling at us to freeze. All three of us took off running, and one of the guys tripped on front of me and face planted. I hurled over him, kept running, scaled a fence, and found myself face to face with a woman in her backyard. I must have looked like a nice kid because she asked me if I was running from the cops and let me come in her house to wait it out. My friend who fell got cuffed and stuffed.
The dumbest thing anyone can do who is not reporting a crime but potentially implicated in one is talk to the police. It would also be dumb to potentially let them arrest you if you know you could get away anonymously, especially as an athlete/distance runner.
But there may be facial recognition technology being utilized at the moment, so of that is actually beneficial to police in the future, then criminals may be in trouble. The left will probably complain police facial recognition tech is "racial profiling."
Meh...you poison the situation immediately by saying it's an "average joe cop." No, an "average joe cop" can't catch most of the people here...especially not those under age 50, but not even some over age 50.
So, could most of us here run away from an "average joe cop?" Absolutely. I'm not as fast as I once was since I'm in my mid 50s now, so I will remove myself from this silly discussion. Before I was 40? No "average joe cop" could catch me.
Now, could they contact other officers so that you are surrounded and eventually caught? Well, that's a different deal. Whether you would be fine depends on how quickly they could get other officers there, how easy it is to disappear (crowds, access to your car that the officer you run from doesn't see, etc.).
Too many variables to say that you would be "fine." I suggest you don't try it.