LETESENET GIDAY:. Debut Marathon Prediction Thread (WR or Not?)

Not

Will Obiri compete? She might need a bodyguard to avoid Gidey elbows.

Letesenbet Gidey, not Letesenet Giday.

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If she has a good day yes. It can happen. Wait, was this a yes or no poll? If so, I have to go with odds on no.

No, she won't get the world record in her first marathon. And you really suck at spelling names.

I'm predicting that she'll be one of those stars like Zersernay Tadese and Tirunesh Dibaba who, while descent at the marathon, won't exactly replicate times equivalent to their achievements at shorter distances. So, no world record.

You begin by stating that you are predicting that she will be going for the world record. This is difficult to disprove. Later you predict 2:13:25. Nope. This will not happen yet even with the super shoes. Maybe 2:14:30 or so. She might get the 2nd fastest time in history.

+1

I have made my case on this site numerous times stating their are outstanding 3000m to 1/2 Marathon athletes. I make my case stating it is unnecessary to race 5000m & 10000m because there are elite 3000m to 1/2 Marathon athletes who will do well if 3000m if the longest T and F event. It is possible in any given year the 3000m to 1/2 Marathon athlete may be the best Marathoner but usually the best Marathoner will be a different athlete from the most elite 3000m to 1/2 Marathon athlete.

2:12.53 Smashes World Record

She wont run a WR in her debut, but definitely could within her first 4-5 marathons.

Either WR or DNF

Is your other thread on this the unofficial one?

Or is it this one?

10 times written a name from a world famous runner wrongly. Sometimes 3 mistakes in one name. Sorry, but this is annoying.

But you got Paul Tergat completely correct, congrats.

2:18:50, no.

Gidey: On a good day 2:12:00, on a bad day 2:17:00.

She is as good or better than a motley crew of Panamanian (Castelblanco), Argentinian (Munoz), and Paraguayan (Ayala), marathon runners with modest track creds but who all run the marathon in 2:09:00 - 2:10:00.

Absolutely not. A good day and she runs 2:16, more likely 2:17/18. The marathon is a different animal and HM isn't the best indicator of marathon potential - HM is closer to 10k in terms of physiological demands. Look at the HM legends like Kamworor, Tadese, and Kandie, none of whom have ran a great marathon. Then look at Bekele and Kipchoge, neither have ran a great HM.

That’s because Kipchoge doesn’t concentrate on the half. We know he could run under 1 hour half, but his concentration had been the marathon after his track career.

norway must have the deepest, longest running state sponsored doping regime of anyone.

xc skiing is worse than cycling and they have used that expertise across all sports.