The two most promising candidates for our national team were in high school this year. One graduated already, the other has a senior year. That new blood will push the others and the three that survive that process will be strong for the 2024 Olympics. It's hard to do, but no hard to understand. Be in 1:44 flat shape, on demand, in heats or in semis and ease up toward the end if your heat is not that competitive. Then, in the final race anyone who can do sub 1:42, from the gun, and see where you end up. I like Will Sumner's chances of being in 1:44 flat shape by 2024, although Cade Flatt could too. Three guys who can make the final, instead of none on can make a seminfinal now is a different landscape and both are still young in 2028.