By end of year how many Newbury Park guys will have gone sub 4 in mile?

1

2, gonna say Leo gets it. By the end of next year it will be all 4.

Put them in a race with Nick Willis and if they all beat him, they'll be sub 4.

If you had to set an over/under on it, I believe it would be put at 2.5. Something like O2.5 (-120) U2.5 (+100).

Are countless LRers confused by Wejo not referring to a “full” mile?

Leo and Colin this season

I’d take Aaron over Leo right now.

1:48 & 8:01 3k charts to sub 4.

lex was sick in his 4:04. He’s probably at 4:01.

if they take several cracks at it, I think 3-4.

They can all do it this year. They have to have two things going for them. 1. Have a good day. 2. Get pulled along.

They won’t necessarily do it in the same race. They are capable of having big drops in their races. Example:Lil S 1:53 to 1:48 and Leo 4:06 to 4:00.

Lets hope they do it. It’s good for the sport.

I think that likely three will do it, then the fourth will have the others to pace him in a setup race to also get under. That final sub-4 will be Lex. Their epic historical year as a team will be complete and likely unbeatable for decades to come. Sean has to be thinking this. Four sub-4s trumps any other achievement they can collectively accomplish.

Agree. I’m going with 4 to do it, and I am most confident in Aaron of the remaining 3.

I’ve said this multiple times on the boards, but I think Aaron will be the most notable of all the NP crew when all is said and done, and that is including Nico.

Leo definitely has it. I have no doubt he'll do it. Aaron and Lex are the 50/50s for me. I think it's not likely all three do it on their schedule. They won't have many fast miles, as someone previously stated. As bad as this sounds, I really hope they don't pursue the CIF route, this team is just so good they should go after records instead. With 3 or more attempts I think Lex and Aaron could both probably do it.

Agreed. State is really a waste of time for these guys. Better the younger ones try and go to World U20 (if the US goes) and start competing against the africans (like Jakob has done), than just beating up on inferior domestic competition (even most of the NCAA guys).

Didn't 3:56 not qualify for the NCAA indoor mile? I think they'll have plenty of competition there and should at least go the college route for a year of 2

sub-question is how many HS preps go under 4 this outdoor season? I say 2 of the NP guys (Colin and likely Leo), but I'm willing to bet that at least 3 other non-NP runners go sub 4 this spring (Gary Martin, Gavin Sherry, Rheinhardt Harrison). I think the record is 2 preps in one season (2015) going under the barrier. This season should be pretty epic.

There will be five or six sub-4 guys this year and NP will have at least three of them.

Newbury park will probably run their four at state this year for track which means they have like two weekends left and then they have 4 consecutive weekends of post season (section prelims, finals, masters, state). If they are going to all do it they will need to do it this summer ata pro meet most likely.

Any thoughts on the thinking if high school kids can maintain a peak effort (sub 4 ) for many months or will they start to flatten out? If they haven't done it by now, once it gets hotter and do they start to plateau out? A lot of us have heard don't peak too early.