real data wrote:
Liberals are morons.. wrote:
Excess death data is basically useless for determining how many deaths are actually attributable to COVID. They have no idea what those excess deaths are they just post a graph and ignorant people look at it and attribute 100% of it to COVID.
ummmm.....so you just think it's pure coincidence that they started exactly when Covid spread started and declined exactly when covid declined and rise and fall week by week in step with reported covid deaths?
Do you have any idea of the mathematical odds of something being randomly in sync for 700 days in a row?
If you look at the chart and believe there is no connection then you're just being willingly ignorant.
Well as Twain said there's "Lies, damned lies, and statistics." People who start with their answer and then jam everything they can find into it looking backwards can make any chart look convincing.
"On November 17, 2021, the algorithm used to estimate excess deaths was modified to include 6 years of prior data, rather than 4, which have been used to date. Initial estimates of excess deaths used 4 years of data prior to 2020 in the algorithm to evaluate potential trends in expected and excess deaths. As excess deaths continued to be tracked into 2021, an increasing amount of data had to be excluded from the algorithm modeling, as weekly counts of deaths during the pandemic (February 1, 2020 to present) are excluded from the algorithm to estimate the expected numbers of deaths. As of November 2021, this results in approximately 93 weeks of data being excluded from the estimation. With the exclusion of these 93 weeks, there was insufficient data to accurately estimate the trends in the expected numbers of deaths when using only 4 prior years of data. Thus, the number of prior years used to estimate the expected numbers of deaths was increased to 6, to ensure a sufficient number of years to estimate the trends over time. This change resulted in an increase in the weekly expected numbers of deaths by an average of 2% throughout the pandemic."
You're not looking at raw data. You're looking at data that was tweaked to show you what they wanted you to see.
Did COVID cause deaths to increase? Absolutely. But, as with all things COVID the hysteria far exceeds the actual threat.
Deaths from overdoses skyrocketed over 30% from 2019 to 2020 and went up again in 2021. These are deaths in excess of what's expected. Homicide deaths... suicides... All manner of deaths increased dramatically from the pre-covid years to 2020.
Throw in the fact that the CDC has no good way to distinguish between deaths where COVID-19 was a contributory cause from those where COVID-19 was the underlying cause of death and the numbers are even more inflated.
If a person didn't have morbid obesity and advanced type 2 diabetes COVID wouldn't have killed them. Yet COVID will be listed as the underlying cause and it will be counted a COVID death. It seems to me that they have that very much backwards.