BU season opener predictions

Where are entries?

Nike is knocking wrote:

Where are entries?

Men's 5,000 looks more ,loaded than womens

Nike is knocking wrote:

Where are entries?

flotrack

Can you do a prediction for the mens race? That's the one I'm the most excited to see.

Not sure if this pacing information is up to date. W 5,000 seems too slow for the top runners while the 3,000 seems about right.

Elite Races: This year’s Season Opener will feature elite races for both the Men’s and Women’s 3000m and 5000m races.

The top heats will feature rabbits targeting the following paces:

• Men’s 5000m: Heat 1 – 13:30 / Heat 2 – 13:50

• Men’s 3000m: Heat 1 – 7:50

• Women’s 5000m: Heat 1 – 15:30 / Heat 2 – 15:50

• Women’s 3000m: Heat 1 – 9:00

if coach henes will let katelyn run her race then katelyn tuohy will win that 3000m and will go sub 9

idk why shes not on the 5k race but oh well ill take it, it seems like she prefers 3k more than 5k .. katelyn owns both the indoor 5k and 3k hs national records but she only ran ONE 5k track race in her entire HS career compared to many 3k races.. katelyn owns FOUR all-time times for hs 3000m for the girls, you will see her name four times on the all-time top 8 list)

wayback earlier this year..just seven months after her knee surgery ..she was able to run 4:12 1500m which converts to a 8:56 3000m.. shes much healthier, fitter and faster now .. her fitness today shows she can run sub 9 ....

full entries on this link

https://www.flowrestling.org/events/7084533-2021-bu-sharon-colyear-danville-season-opener/entries

Tuohy will not beat Camp.

If those latest paces are right, only a few athletes on the W side will be able to handle it imho....which maybe is fine but the field will get strung out. Camp ran low 8:50s early this year, and McCabe and maybe Tuohy can handle that, and 15:15 seems ok for Orton and Wayment but not sure how many others.

You are correct. This is silly. Tuohy will lose by 15 seconds.

These should be fast races, but I’m also excited to see Kiptoo race again with gloves indoors.

Jake from the Olympics wrote:

You are correct. This is silly. Tuohy will lose by 15 seconds.

Tuohy will not win. She is not as fast as she was as a HS sophomore or when she ran 9:01 as a junior. She will be out kicked as she has her whole career. She only wins when she can out run everyone in the front, but this is not HS anymore! She has no finishing speed and will get out kicked.

semihaze wrote:

katelyn owns both the indoor 5k and 3k hs national records

Nope, second fastest indoors.

9:00.16i *Alexa Efraimson (Camas, Washington) 2014

9:00.62 Katie Rainsberger (Air Academy, Air Force Academy, Colorado) 2016

9:01.81i *Katelyn Tuohy (North Rockland, Thiells, New York) 2019

coalsplitter wrote:

semihaze wrote:

katelyn owns both the indoor 5k and 3k hs national records

Nope, second fastest indoors.

9:00.16i *Alexa Efraimson (Camas, Washington) 2014

9:00.62 Katie Rainsberger (Air Academy, Air Force Academy, Colorado) 2016

9:01.81i *Katelyn Tuohy (North Rockland, Thiells, New York) 2019

Nope, Efraimson's 9:00.16 was on an oversized track, so not record-eligible.

OriginalLurker wrote:

Tuohy will not beat Camp.

tuohy is stronger now, she fell down before the mile mark at xc nationals and still finished 15th, camp finshed 12th, its true that camp is faster with her 1500m and other times earlier this year, but my money is on tuohy .. this is her first track race as a healthy runner, shes hungry for a win

7empest wrote:

Jake from the Olympics wrote:

You are correct. This is silly. Tuohy will lose by 15 seconds.

Tuohy will not win. She is not as fast as she was as a HS sophomore or when she ran 9:01 as a junior. She will be out kicked as she has her whole career. She only wins when she can out run everyone in the front, but this is not HS anymore! She has no finishing speed and will get out kicked.

tuohy just broke her best hs 1500m time .. 7 months after knee surgery .. lol shes faster now

I think you guys are way over exaggerating how fast college girls will run in this meet. Everyone was given their best for cross country. And I think most Runners of using this just as a chance to see what they can do on the track off their cross-country training

I'd be crazy surprised if anyone in the 5K that competed in cross-country runs anything close to 1510. Again I think people are just using this as a little track experience before they take a break for the holidays.... orton 1525 ish....

4 Touhy I think something around 9:05 is the goal and probably end up more like a 9:07 or 9:08. Camp will probably run a few seconds faster. Kelsey Camille is one of those girls who just seems to really be at her best at Cross Country. Her track time don't really translate to how good of a cross country Runner she is although she's still pretty good on the track. I think Katelyn Tuohy is better across country as well. But she obviously has some really good track times.

It'll be interesting if Katelyn Tuohy can show the same consistency from 1500m through 5K in college. In high school she had crazy consistency with her p r s. All those distances matched up in a crazy fashion where they were pretty much all the same rating

As of last year though her 1500 time was a lot stronger than her track 5K or 3K.

Orton ran 15 12 last april then what around 1550 at nationals, injury? I think sub 1520 is unlikely for those that were cross competitors.... 1525s... prob...

What do u mean by national qualifying time? Is that for World Championships? What is the time frame it doesn't have to be in the same calendar year?

Anyway I checked into it whittni Orton ran a1512 against the best Pros in the world last year. But then she was 1558 and 1605 at NCAA championships. So I guess dealing with an injury or something. She's obviously healthy now but I'd be surprised if this is an all-out time trial effort. Unless I'm missing something that other people know about.

Wouldn't she be aiming to Peak during the indoor season and not now? Unless she's using the same strategy she did last year where she runs her best time way before it matters