athing mu progression

This is like getting excited about a male 800 runner going 1:46.

Besides that, her name reminds me of "Aethling," the word for an Anglo-Saxon prince.

2021 - 19 - 23.5 49.8 1:57.9 - NCAA champ at 400, 2nd at USAs in 800, 3rd at Olympics in 800

*Turns pro*

2022 - 20 - 49.5 1:56.0 - Goes undefeated except for getting silver behind Wilson at Eugene WCs (great moment), wins 2 DL 400s

2023 - 21 - 51.1 1:57.5 - Injured early season, finishes 2nd at USAs and 4th at Worlds

2024 - 22 - 49.8 1:55.2 4:10 - Wins Olympic 800 gold and sets American record

2025 - 23 - 49.5 1:55.0 - Wins world championship gold and lowers her own AR

2026 - 24 - 50.0 1:56.3 4:08 - 4-for-5 in Diamond League 800s

2027 - 25 - 50.2 1:55.9 - Splits 4 matchups with a Young Upstart, losing at the WCs and setting for silver

2028 - 26 - 50.8 1:56.4 4:05 - Olympic bronze well behind Young Upstart, who runs jaw-dropping negative split 1:53

2029 - 27 - 1:57.1 4:04 - Wins 3 DL races and sets a lifetime best for 1500, but places a disappointing 6th at the WCs

2030 - 28 - 1:56.9 4:06 - Wins her 7th outdoor U.S. 800 title, finishes the season ranked world #1 thanks to Young Upstart getting busted for PEDs

2031 - 29 - 51.5 1:57.0 - World championship bronze

2032 - 30 - 51.8 1:57.8 4:09 - 5th at the Olympics

2033 - 31 - Misses season (battling pregnancy)

2034 - 32 - 52.6 2:00.9 4:14 - Trying to return to form

2035 - 33 - 51.9 1:59.0 - Makes 11th and final U.S. outdoor 800 team, but fails to make the final for the first time

2036 - 34 - 52.3 1:59.9 4:13 - Places 5th at the Olympic Trials

2037 - 35 - 53.4 2:02.0 - Tries to make one more U.S. team but comes up short, retiring as one of the greatest 800m runners in history.

...no pressure

Looks like I’m bound to be more accurate for this year’s 800 time, huh? 1:58.4i already.

gotta up the predictions lol

no pressure wrote:

Looks like I’m bound to be more accurate for this year’s 800 time, huh? 1:58.4i already.

I was erring conservative, but she is SO SO outstanding. great prediction!

Also; 50.5 for the 400? Why is no one talking about what she can run outdoors for 400???

Bad Wigins wrote:

This is like getting excited about a male 800 runner going 1:46.

Besides that, her name reminds me of "Aethling," the word for an Anglo-Saxon prince.

Not sure that this take aged well. I think an 18 year old running 1:58.4 indoors is worth being optimistic about. It feels like that is much closer to a medal than a guy running 1:46.

Well well well, gotta change it up again!

2017 | 15 | 2:07.18/4:33.04

2018 | 16 | 2:04.51/52.45/23.63

2019 | 17 | 2:01.17

2020 | 18 | n/a

---- College ----

2021 | 19 | 1:57.73/50.52/4:16.06 | Tokyo OLY | 800 contender, 4x4 pool

---- Pro ----

2022 | 20 | 1:56.8/50 | Eugene WC | 800 contender, 4x4 pool

2023 | 21 | 1:56.5/49.high | Budapest WC | 800 contender, 4x4

2024 | 22 | 1:56/49high | Paris OLY | 800 strong contender, 4x4

2025 | 23 | 1:

55.high/49mid

| ( maybe Nairobi?) WCs | 800 favorite, 4x4

2026 | 24 | 4:03-6/22.9-23.5 | off-year to work on speed and strength, enters 200/1500 at USA

2027 | 25 | 1:

55.mid/49mid

| TBD WCs | 800 favorite, 4x4, 400 strong contender

2028 | 26 | 1:55/49 | LA OLY | 800 favorite, 4x4, 400 strong contender

After 2028, Mu can transition up to become more of a 800/1500 runner - I suspect she would be able to excel at Championship style 1500s.

If she stays as an 400/800 runner (like the Clarks, also from NJ... something in the halfmiler water there), I think Mu can successfully run the 800 and relay duty for many many cycles, perhaps focusing on the 400 for World indoors.

no pressure wrote:

2021 - 19 - 23.5 49.8 1:57.9 - NCAA champ at 400, 2nd at USAs in 800, 3rd at Olympics in 800

*Turns pro*

With Mu set to compete in the 400 at NCAAs (not the 800) while targeting the 800 at the Trials, I feel great about this first year’s prediction except for that dang 0.17 seconds. Of course, she could still run 49.3/1:56.0 or something later this year.

49.68 today...

Collegiate records everywhere!

jabouko wrote:

49.68 today...

Collegiate records everywhere!

BAM!💥

She’s so deceptive——you watch her and think “I can run THAT fast”, and then you see the clock😮

And this was a prelim, wtf is she doing going hard?!

jabouko wrote:

49.68 today...

Collegiate records everywhere!

Why is she not trying to double at the trials? Let’s see if she’s really a better 800m than 400m medal threat at the Olympics. Heck, I think she could pull off the 400/800 double in Tokyo. Isn’t 12 hours enough time to recover between finals?

Alright time for a girl

49.57 at NCAAs, then a 48.85 split.

wowwwwwwww

John Wesley Harding wrote:

no pressure wrote:

2021 - 19 - 23.5 49.8 1:57.9 - NCAA champ at 400, 2nd at USAs in 800, 3rd at Olympics in 800

*Turns pro*

With Mu set to compete in the 400 at NCAAs (not the 800) while targeting the 800 at the Trials, I feel great about this first year’s prediction except for that dang 0.17 seconds. Of course, she could still run 49.3/1:56.0 or something later this year.

This might be a conservative estimate

She. Is. Phenomenal.

Hopefully she does some 400’s post-Olympics.