High School Phenoms&2021 Trials?

phenoms&trials wrote:

Looking at all the delayed/potentially cancelled state meets this year, what do you think the odds are of a lot of high school runners who are above the high school level (or even can hold their own in the collegiate level) taking a shot at getting an Olympic trials Qualifying time? Obviously most likely none would make the actual olympics, but that experience would be tough to pass up over a state meet in my opinion. What do you think? And which athletes?

I can’t think of a single HS boy that would have any shot at any of the qualifiers. Not even close.

There might be some girls with an outside chance—Sophia Gorrarian in the 800, for instance. She could do it. Hard to think of anyone else?

There are boys but you are narrowly focusing on distance. Hutchins can make it in the 5k but has better chance in the 10k. Rosison Willis will run 2 flat in the 800 this year.

Predictably, I will say this would be a poor choice for anyone who tries it. Maybe the 800 runners can get away with it and not suffer long term setbacks. But if Hutchins or someone like that tries to extend their season and focuses on running that fast it would likely derail their entire career.

Hutchins Is the All-Time Greatest wrote:

There are boys but you are narrowly focusing on distance. Hutchins can make it in the 5k but has better chance in the 10k. Rosison Willis will run 2 flat in the 800 this year.

I don’t know about the jumps, but I don’t see any boys getting close in the sprints. Not narrowly looking at distance — no HSers are getting wind legal 10.05 or 20.24. Those would both be very close to US records. 45.2 is similar. The 800 qualifier is faster than Granville’s record.

Indoor? wrote:

Predictably, I will say this would be a poor choice for anyone who tries it. Maybe the 800 runners can get away with it and not suffer long term setbacks. But if Hutchins or someone like that tries to extend their season and focuses on running that fast it would likely derail their entire career.

Hutchins would have to PR by 15 seconds to make it in the 5000. I don’t see that happening this year.

The only athlete that has a shot is Justin Robinson. End of discussion

Pretty sure you didn't come within 20 seconds of predicting her 15:58 either. She is more than 1 minute behind the top Americans. Why would you not predict 15 seconds of improvement?

Hutchins Is the All-Time Greatest wrote:

Pretty sure you didn't come within 20 seconds of predicting her 15:58 either. She is more than 1 minute behind the top Americans. Why would you not predict 15 seconds of improvement?

Precisely because she just PR'd by like, 20 seconds. Do you really think Hutchins is going to leave high school as something like 20-30 seconds faster than any other HSer ever? I, for one, do not.