6/2 Data
We're starting to see a significant reversal in the data. For around 6 weeks we saw steady improvement, virtually every day. In the 7 day rolling average of daily deaths.
But for the last week or so the numbers first plateaud and now they are starting to tick back up again, in the wrong direction.
Which is probably what the pessimists predicted when things started opening up again in late April and May.
The direction is not good.
US hit a low of 983 deaths per day on May 30 and now we're up to 1050 per day.
The world hit a low of 4117 on May 30 and now we're up to 4228 per day.
The tight correlation between the world and the US continues to be one of my biggest questions. Why do they move so closely? We are around 25% of the total so that's part of it but not all of it.
Brazil marked more deaths yesterday than the US. That doesn't happen often.
I will say that I've seen a few notes that nations and US states are going back through their old data and reclassifying. That results in more deaths, all marked on the add-on day. So the hope is that once we get through this data modification period the numbers will fall back. That this worsening is only a data illusion.
But case counts around the world keep climbing relentlessly so I'm not optimistic.
In the rankings Brazil keeps moving up. Up to 20th worst after being 28th worst 2 weeks ago.
No change in the ranking of the few US states I'm tracking. Strange how stable the US states are. Maybe you can pee in the deep end and not have it affect the shallow end.