vmg wrote:
Saw some of the new ‘rankings’ at a couple sites and was not impressed, as some don’t seem to take much stock in an indicator of 6K fitness vs a shining 5K time against strong competition. Like you, I’m interested in the ‘outliers’ that ‘rankings’ generally dismiss — eg Frentheway, Stearns, Ramsden, Bockrath, and some others — who have raced at 6K…against strong competition. Am also interested in seeing how the ‘sibling rivalry’ (to quote Dave Smith in his post-Jamboree comments) progresses between Roe and Cook. Notably (inexplicably…), some of the ‘rankings’ keep Roe ahead of Cook in spite of the fact that Cook won the early head-to-head at 6K on a tough course (and it wasn’t really close).
Well, as you noted 1 race does not necessarily give the whole story. Maybe some deference to Roe's consistent high level results for last 18 months? Maybe that she ran 20:06 on that course 18 months ago? Or has more college experience? But for this very reason I hate to force rank, and rather I try to figure out groups of runners at about the same level (that I don't think I can differentiate). Right now I say Roe and Cook are very close and either could beat the other on a given day. And I say Chelangat and Valby are right with them. Maybe (maybe) Tuohy is a notch above. Or maybe not. The rankings site seem to have Roe and Cook very close as well.