Official LRC President Donald J Trump Thread

law and order SVU wrote:

Rigged for Hillary wrote:

https://twitter.com/Barnes_Law/status/1320129147721576449

As for the 13 Keys, Lichtman is subjective &just a biased liberal.

1. One of his interpretations states that Trump is not charismatic. That's an idiotic take.

2. The foreign affairs key is another joke. He has completely discounted the peace deals in the ME.

3. The scandal key is garbage. It is no longer a current issue.

The 13 Keys will be proven wrong on election night.

Northrop's model has no subjectivity-that's the one to follow and his record destroy's Nate Plastic's/538.

FL, NC & AZ are on lock for Trump. Dementia Joe must sweep the entire rust belt in order to win the race & I'm telling you libs once again, it will NEVER happen.

MI- Trump has taken the lead, per one of the most accurate polls, Trafalgar. (46.7 - 44.9)

https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/restoration/pages/1001/attachments/original/1603307463/RSTP_MI_'20_Oct_Press_Report.pdf?1603307463

I am confident the the GOP will keep control of the Senate. (51-49 worst case but won't be surprised if it ends up at 52-48). The Dems will control the House, however their majority will be slightly reduced by 10 seats max.

Peoples Pundit, Barnes Law & Trafalgar- will all beat 538 with their presidential predictions.

Trump will end up with 313 EV minimum.

Liberal heads will explode.

I will win the Runningart Challenge.

KAG2020

Why is Trump still campaigning so aggressively in states like NC, AZ, and FL, which are "on lock"? Does he know they are "on lock"? Have you told him they are "on lock"?!?!

agip wrote:

Dan Kahneman wrote:

Not that these two opinions seem that far apart. His total and callous lack of concern for how he leaves this country is of major concern.

And you may be underestimating his level of vindictiveness and childlike emotionality.

If past behavior is an indication of future behavior, its not good.

meh

trump has been through decades of American life. One thing he knows to his bones is that he may need something in the future, so don't burn bridges. This sounds silly in terms of his hate-politics, but he's survived decades of NYC politics and changing banking rules etc.

He's a survivor. His interest is in building his brand so he can make more money and be loved by fans. Blowing everything up doesn't get him more money or fans. He needs people to have money...so he can con them out of it. Blowing everything up is the opposite of that because it would make people poorer.

Trollminator wrote:

Trollminator wrote:

To pull this off he will need smarter people who can tolerate and manage incompetence... I don't think he can organize himself. His life has been one bankruptcy and mismanagement after the other. This is not a very smart man.

And never mind the past, I'll use the last 4 years to prove my point. How easy would it have been for him to appear more in control, more modest, more in the middle? He took an idea about why he won in 2016 and kept running the same exact play, never ever learning a single thing from it all. He could have been easily running away with the election just by having pretended to be less unhinged, but he couldn't even figure that out. He just had to let the smarter people run with decisions. He has zero discipline and he really is a lot dumber than we all think... cancer-causing windmills, bombing hurricanes, injecting bleach.. come on, man!

He's a decent opportunist and bs artist, I'll give him that, but he gets a C in execution and F in follow through.

Trollminator wrote:

Dan Kahneman wrote:

It makes you worry about what Trump will do during that period after the election when he knows he has been voted out.

He is amazingly vindictive and places few if any limits on his own behavior. No one, not even his cult members think he is going to try and put the needs of the country ahead of his own and work toward a smooth transition of power.

The worst Trump is yet to come.

IMO it all comes down to the Senate results and how badly the GOP gets beaten all around. If there is a full rejection of trump and trumpism, they will not find any value in protecting him. He would no longer be in any position to help them. The results could be ugly enough that they might not want to negotiate a pardon situation with him. I doubt it, but that's my hope.

agip wrote:

Trollminator wrote:

And never mind the past, I'll use the last 4 years to prove my point. How easy would it have been for him to appear more in control, more modest, more in the middle? He took an idea about why he won in 2016 and kept running the same exact play, never ever learning a single thing from it all. He could have been easily running away with the election just by having pretended to be less unhinged, but he couldn't even figure that out. He just had to let the smarter people run with decisions. He has zero discipline and he really is a lot dumber than we all think... cancer-causing windmills, bombing hurricanes, injecting bleach.. come on, man!

He's a decent opportunist and bs artist, I'll give him that, but he gets a C in execution and F in follow through.

I think you are underestimate Trump.

1) He got himself elected president in his first campaign. He destroyed the R field in the primary like they were butter. He served up a massive upset in the general. He did that on his own, trusting his instincts, underfunded. He has no reason to believe he should trust experts after going with his gut for so long. . Remember they all told him to drop out after Access Hollywood. Instead, Trump put his head down and accelerated. That's the model he uses: When in trouble just keep going and trust his gut. It's served him well through A LOT of trouble.

He could not have won in 2012, 2008 or before.. he was scanning the political climate for many years and finally saw his opportunity. So again, I'll give him credit for being an opportunist, but lets be real the stars aligned for him in 2016 (help from Putin and Comey, and HRC dislike) and his tactics would have blown up bigly any other time.

2) He has been relevant to US business for 40 years, in multiple fields. That's very, very rare. Esp for a real estate guy to survive all the booms and busts. He knows how to survive. He survives unethically and illegally, but he survives. I see no reason why that will change now. Unless he is convicted of a serious, non-pardoned, non campaign-finance crime. (civil stuff doesn't matter)

I give him credit for surviving, but he was born with a silver spoon in his mouth so not the biggest accomplishment in the world. As FP has said many times, he could have made more money investing in an S&P index. He really sucked in real estate, always underwater and never owning anything. I was under the impression that he still had substantial wealth from the Apprentice but as we know now he blew all that too. It was easier to survive when he lived in his smaller real estate and TV bubbles. There is a reason why he was quoted during the Mueller investigation as having said "I'm fvcked". He knows the presidency has exposed him like never before. He was elusive in the past but he catapulted himself into a massive bulls eye. I agree probably no jail time, but he's going to be crippled and he has $900m of debt due next year. This is going to be an OJ style self-destruction.

Trollminator wrote:

agip wrote:

I think you are underestimate Trump.

1) He got himself elected president in his first campaign. He destroyed the R field in the primary like they were butter. He served up a massive upset in the general. He did that on his own, trusting his instincts, underfunded. He has no reason to believe he should trust experts after going with his gut for so long. . Remember they all told him to drop out after Access Hollywood. Instead, Trump put his head down and accelerated. That's the model he uses: When in trouble just keep going and trust his gut. It's served him well through A LOT of trouble.

He could not have won in 2012, 2008 or before.. he was scanning the political climate for many years and finally saw his opportunity. So again, I'll give him credit for being an opportunist, but lets be real the stars aligned for him in 2016 (help from Putin and Comey, and HRC dislike) and his tactics would have blown up bigly any other time.

2) He has been relevant to US business for 40 years, in multiple fields. That's very, very rare. Esp for a real estate guy to survive all the booms and busts. He knows how to survive. He survives unethically and illegally, but he survives. I see no reason why that will change now. Unless he is convicted of a serious, non-pardoned, non campaign-finance crime. (civil stuff doesn't matter)

I give him credit for surviving, but he was born with a silver spoon in his mouth so not the biggest accomplishment in the world. As FP has said many times, he could have made more money investing in an S&P index. He really sucked in real estate, always underwater and never owning anything. I was under the impression that he still had substantial wealth from the Apprentice but as we know now he blew all that too. It was easier to survive when he lived in his smaller real estate and TV bubbles. There is a reason why he was quoted during the Mueller investigation as having said "I'm fvcked". He knows the presidency has exposed him like never before. He was elusive in the past but he catapulted himself into a massive bulls eye. I agree probably no jail time, but he's going to be crippled and he has $900m of debt due next year. This is going to be an OJ style self-destruction.

See above

Fat hurts wrote:

Ghost of Igloi wrote:

The Trump Flags on jacked pickup trucks will scare the liberals off. That and the Blue police support American flags will strike fear in the liberal commies from the left coast. Millennial punks with multiple piercings are afraid to even to go into a Starbucks to order their Vente fav. ?

On Saturday, one of those jacked pickups tried to race me off the line at a stoplight. I had been behind him for awhile on a two lane road. Noticed he had a "Calvin pissing" sticker except that Calvin's head was replaced with Trump's head and he was pissing on the word "liberals". So when we finally got to a four lane road I pulled up beside him at that stoplight and he motioned that he wanted to race. He revved his engine and thick black smoke bellowed from his tailpipe.

I left him in the dust with my Chevy Bolt EV. It wasn't even close. Wish I could have seen his face when he saw my "Alternative Fuel Vehicle" license plate. But I was too far ahead.

agip wrote:

L L wrote:

Early voting finally started in my state today. (I already dropped my absentee ballot at a drop off box. I hate lines)

My local news feed showed pictures of long lines 15 minutes before the 7 am opening.

I am still concerned about election day which I assume will be the largest group of voters coming out with their usual polling places closed and few choices of where to vote.

Are hard core anti-maskers simply not going to vote? I can't imagine any polling places that will allow people to stand in line or go into a building without a face covering.

This will be a chaotic final week leading up to November 3rd.

You sort of allude to this - since dems are much, much more likely to vote early, if lines are absurd on election day, the people shut out are more likely to be Rs than Ds. Advantage Biden.

Although breaking this down state by state would be more helpful. Losing 100,000 R voters in a deep red state might not make much difference.

law and order SVU wrote:

Rigged for Hillary wrote:

https://twitter.com/Barnes_Law/status/1320129147721576449

As for the 13 Keys, Lichtman is subjective &just a biased liberal.

1. One of his interpretations states that Trump is not charismatic. That's an idiotic take.

2. The foreign affairs key is another joke. He has completely discounted the peace deals in the ME.

3. The scandal key is garbage. It is no longer a current issue.

The 13 Keys will be proven wrong on election night.

Northrop's model has no subjectivity-that's the one to follow and his record destroy's Nate Plastic's/538.

FL, NC & AZ are on lock for Trump. Dementia Joe must sweep the entire rust belt in order to win the race & I'm telling you libs once again, it will NEVER happen.

MI- Trump has taken the lead, per one of the most accurate polls, Trafalgar. (46.7 - 44.9)

https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/restoration/pages/1001/attachments/original/1603307463/RSTP_MI_'20_Oct_Press_Report.pdf?1603307463

I am confident the the GOP will keep control of the Senate. (51-49 worst case but won't be surprised if it ends up at 52-48). The Dems will control the House, however their majority will be slightly reduced by 10 seats max.

Peoples Pundit, Barnes Law & Trafalgar- will all beat 538 with their presidential predictions.

Trump will end up with 313 EV minimum.

Liberal heads will explode.

I will win the Runningart Challenge.

KAG2020

Why is Trump still campaigning so aggressively in states like NC, AZ, and FL, which are "on lock"? Does he know they are "on lock"? Have you told him they are "on lock"?!?!