Too many on here completely removed from NCAA T&F and are missing just how much super shoes have changed track times in the last 5 years, never mind when they were running 20-30 years ago.
Here's the number of NCAA D1 sub-4 milers indoor along with the 100th best mile time:
2025 - 139 (100th: 3:58.81)
2023 - 97 (100th: 4:00.38)
2021 - 38 (100th: 4:06.49)
2019 - 33 (100th: 4:04.71)
2017 - 30 (100th: 4:04.81)
2015 - 32 (100th: 4:03.81)
2013 - 30 (100th: 4:05.03)
2011 - 22 (100th: 4:05.85)
The reality is, times jumped about 5-7 seconds for a mile from 2011 and 2025 (pretty much exclusively post-covid and in the supershoe/superspike era).
Too many of you are living in the early 2000s or even earlier where a 4:15 high school 1600m was a standout athlete (top-50 HS time in the country in 2005). That is no longer the case and more akin to a 4:20-22. This is still solid running but a far cry from the performance the oldies on here think. This athlete would need to improve 20 seconds in the mile in college just to crack the top 100 in the NCAA; 10 seconds just to break the top 500 (https://tf.tfrrs.org/lists/4867/2024_2025_NCAA_Division_I_Indoor_List_FINAL#event57). Top D1 coaches aren't exactly going to be falling over one another to sign a guy who can maybe be a top-500 guy in a few years.
We then have the relatively bad 3200m/XC times. That could be looked over as under-training if he had 49/1:51 speed, but a 1:57 is underwhelming as well.
Factor in roster size issues, it already being April, and us not knowing what 15 schools he emailed, I am not surprised at all there has been no response. Some coaches who can maybe sign 1-2 distance athletes and they better be studs.
My advice is similar to what some others have said here:
- Adjust your expectations and schools. 4:15 is a reasonable time but you're 20 seconds from being a top-100 NCAA guy. Considering the huge drop in times, roster size issues, and more, top programs are looking for sub 4:05 as their studs. They're willing to consider others (say sub 4:10) but typically have to be well balanced or a huge upside because they know it's a gamble and going to be a long play. Look at mid-majors, conferences you may eventually be competitive, D2, D3, etc.
- Consider a JUCO. You can get your first 2 years of school for cheap (they may offer tuition waver too) while seeing if you can get your times down, then can transfer into a larger school.
- Go to college for college. Go to the best school you get into and you can still run on the side with a club, group, etc.
- I'd scrap the idea of a gap year, whoever suggested that. Terrible suggestion.