Bro, we have like two three guys that can break 13, thats it.
Kincaid, Fisher, Klecker have all broken 13 multiple times. Chelimo has done it. Nur has the ability to do it. Young and Teare are on the cusp. McGorty has run 13:02.13.
If Fisher is the one trying to make it a fast pace, his chances go down, not up. Did he set the fast pace for any of his PBs? I expect Fisher to make the Olympic team, but championship racing is very different from time trials.
He did exactly what I’m talking about in the 2022 USATF 5000m. Why do you think he can’t do it again?
The gap between Fisher and the rest of the field has narrowed since 2022. Front running only works if you are much better than everyone else in the field.
It was also the most recent one that he ran at peak performance (due to injuries last year), and the first one that he really took the race by the reins rather than leaving it to a kick. If he’s fit at the trials, I don’t see why he wouldn’t do that again. Maybe he will win, maybe he won’t (I think he will but I can also see him not winning it), but there’s a very low chance he doesn’t make the team. Since Covid, he has made 4 out of the 5 teams that he has attempted to make, and the only one he failed to make was due to injury. It takes a brave man to bet against him being in the top 3.
There is no universe where a healthy Fisher doesn’t make the 5k team. He crushed the field in 2022 and has improved since then. No one you listed is doing anything against a 12:46 guy who can close a 7:25 in 55.
There is no universe where a healthy Fisher doesn’t make the 5k team. He crushed the field in 2022 and has improved since then. No one you listed is doing anything against a 12:46 guy who can close a 7:25 in 55.
12:46 and 7:25 both in perfect conditions in rabbited races. There were no heats and Fisher didn't run the 10000 a week prior. The Trials will be different: warmer, slower, unrabbited.
Also, I disagree that Fisher has improved since 2022. He ran 12:46 and 26:33 in 2022, both of which are roughly equal to his 7:25 in 2023.
Finally, and most importantly, the competition has improved since 2022. Nur was still in college back then. Teare had just begun his professional career (and didn't even run the 5000 at nationals). It was an off year for Chelimo.
This post was edited 6 minutes after it was posted.
There is no universe where a healthy Fisher doesn’t make the 5k team. He crushed the field in 2022 and has improved since then. No one you listed is doing anything against a 12:46 guy who can close a 7:25 in 55.
12:46 and 7:25 both in perfect conditions in rabbited races. There were no heats and Fisher didn't run the 10000 a week prior. The Trials will be different: warmer, slower, unrabbited.
Also, I disagree that Fisher has improved since 2022. He ran 12:46 and 26:33 in 2022, both of which are roughly equal to his 7:25 in 2023.
Finally, and most importantly, the competition has improved since 2022. Nur was still in college back then. Teare had just begun his professional career (and didn't even run the 5000 at nationals). It was an off year for Chelimo.
Many guys have run rabbited races in perfect conditions and Fisher is the one that holds 3 ARs. Teare and Nur are not a threat to Fisher. Teare winning a B level XC race doesn’t mean anything and Nur finished 12th in the WC 5000m last year.
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