Below are the LACCTiC simulated top 20 at ACC
1
Katelyn Tuohy
15:28 (15:19 - 15:38)
NC State
SO
2
Kelsey Chmiel
15:40 (15:38 - 15:43)
NC State
JR
3
Samantha Bush
15:45 (15:34 - 15:56)
NC State
JR
4
Marlee Starliper
15:54 (15:44 - 16:05)
NC State
FR
5
Olivia Markezich
15:58 (15:58 - 15:59)
Notre Dame
JR
6
Sydney Seymour
15:58 (15:54 - 16:03)
NC State
SR
7
Amina Maatoug
16:00 (16:00 - 16:01)
Duke
SO
8
Savannah Shaw
16:01 (15:45 - 16:19)
NC State
SR
9
Savannah Roark
16:01 (15:58 - 16:06)
Syracuse
SO
10
Brynn Brown
16:02 (16:00 - 16:04)
North Carolina
SO
11
Kelsey Harrington
16:05 (16:05 - 16:06)
North Carolina
SO
12
Mariah Howlett
16:05 (16:00 - 16:11)
NC State
JR
13
Margot Appleton
16:05 (15:52 - 16:19)
Virginia
SO
14
Nevada Mareno
16:09 (15:56 - 16:23)
NC State
SR
15
Gionna Quarzo
16:09 (16:01 - 16:17)
NC State
SO
16
Katie Thronson
16:10 (16:07 - 16:14)
Notre Dame
SR
17
Camryn Menninger
16:11 (16:03 - 16:19)
Virginia
SO
18
Alyson Churchill
16:12 (16:09 - 16:17)
Florida State
SO
19
Fatima Alanis
16:13 (16:04 - 16:23)
North Carolina
SO
20
Erin Strzelecki
16:14 (16:10 - 16:19)
Notre Dame
SO
Some thoughts: Maddy Denner could come out of nowhere like she did to get 9th at NCAAs last year, although it seems a bit unlikely. Even still I think she will be top 20. Who knows if Starliper is healthy, fourth might be optimistic even if she races after nearly a month off. Maatoug looks pretty strong after 28th at Nutty and 2nd at Paul short behind only Kemboi, but she doesn't have a lot of racing experience which could be exposed here. If Roark has a day like she had at Jamboree, she could break up the NC State top 5, but nutty wasn't quite as strong for her. I would put Brynn Brown higher than 10, as she has been consistent so far with top 20 at nutty and top 8 at Paul short. I am not confident in Shaw right now finishing 8th, and that is if she even races at all. Frias finding her stride after a storied senior year, Appleton a little unknown due to lack of big races but looked strong running 16:31 at panorama farms. Markezich could be anywhere from 4-9 for me but she usually trends better later season.
My rankings:
(1) Tuohy (2) Chmiel (3) Bush (4) Markezich (5) Brown (6) Seymour (7) Starliper (8) Roark (9) Maatoug (10) Harrington (11) Mareno (12) Howlett (13) Appleton (14) Thronson (15) Quarzo (16) Churchill (17) Denner (18)Shaw (19)Menninger (20) Strezlecki/Frias