Big Dave RIcks fan, but even if we take lifetime outdoor bests of the Carls and giving Roy a generous 3:08, I only get a 9:54.78. That will likely not make the meet.
St. John's actually projects to be very close with St. Peter, Montreuil, Stencel, and Witschen. I have them closer to 9:56, which would be a massive school record.
I too worry that the Oles don't have a 1200 leg. Conceivably, Nemecek or Moore could move up or maybe they've somehow made Myers faster in his first year - unlikely in that program. Maybe Fells steps up after a surprising MIAC outdoor meet, but he seems more like the type that's happy to be on the team and let others set the pace. After seeing the mile results from December, they Oles don't appear to be a factor in the DMR at the national level. And lets not forget how the Oles. folded at the Indoor Championship. That was the start of the Graber domination of the Oles. Some people just want it more. Iggy is abroad again in January and seems unmotivated with the loss of Goss as a competitor.