Riiiggghhhhht. Would have blown Tuohy's doors off at Joe Piane, the last three times they raced notwithstanding. I still laugh that the 3rd place runner at SEC ran 18:54.
One of the challenges with speed ratings and I think the LACCTiC ratings is on easy courses it is easier for the more average runners to run well, while on the hard courses they get eaten alive but the better runners handle better. With speed ratings as I recall this makes it harder for the best runners to get high speed ratings on easy courses. With LACCTiC it looks like it it easier for everyone to get faster ratings.
I started same analysis on Mens results and nothing jumps out. Kiprop and Jacobs both accelerated a lot in the 2nd half of the race, and the final K. But runners further back did not. So nothing obvious to me on this 8K course.
IIRC, the problematic portions of the course, based on the W splits, are roughly 2-3-4(3.87)K. It seems that the quick look fast has done on the men’s times (regardless of the marker positions) apparently does not indicate any anomalies timing-wise over that portion of the course.
Is it my eyes or are the 2k and 3k marks in completely different locations on the two maps?
I can answer this...I did a Google maps trying to gauge the distance for the womens race...I got confused early as I was using the Mens map to begin with. Around 1.5km, the womens race veered to the south while the mens kept straight. Thus the different 2k distances and also possible difference in overall accuracy of the two races.
The problematic portion of the W splits occurs between roughly 2K and 4K. Note that that section (not the marked distances, the shape/route) of the W and the M course are identical. Simple reasoning suggests that if there was an anomaly in that part of the course for the W, a similar anomaly would be apparent somewhere in the splits of the men. Based on what fast has looked at so far, it (a discontinuity in the M splits) does not.
“Around 1.5km, the womens race veered to the south while the mens kept straight. Thus the different 2k distances and also possible difference in overall accuracy of the two races.”
To your point, if that ‘veer to the south’ is cut off, looks how it moves the 5K point closer to the finish and thus shortens the women’s race.
nc state was predicted to be strong team because theres starliper and shaw who can finish in top 20-30s and 40-50s which is why nc state will undeniably win nationals with them
one down
Who do you think will be in their final lineup?
If I had to guess - Starliper, Bush, Chmiel, Seymour, Tuohy, Mareno, Quarzo
nc state was predicted to be strong team because theres starliper and shaw who can finish in top 20-30s and 40-50s which is why nc state will undeniably win nationals with them
one down
Who do you think will be in their final lineup?
If I had to guess - Starliper, Bush, Chmiel, Seymour, Tuohy, Mareno, Quarzo
It is going to be a tough call between Quarzo, Rauber, Mareno, Howlett on who gets to run, but gets easier is Starliper cannot go. Quarzo seems most consistent but the others seem to have higher upside. Rauber has a good history with hills. Starliper of course is desired to be on the line.
It is going to be a tough call between Quarzo, Rauber, Mareno, Howlett on who gets to run, but gets easier is Starliper cannot go. Quarzo seems most consistent but the others seem to have higher upside. Rauber has a good history with hills. Starliper of course is desired to be on the line.
Yes. Rauber and Mareno each came through with clutch performances this season. If Rauber can place high again at regionals she might be their #7. I agree that Quarzo has been the most consistent. It will be a tough call.
Who do you think will run if there is no Starliper?
It is going to be a tough call between Quarzo, Rauber, Mareno, Howlett on who gets to run, but gets easier is Starliper cannot go. Quarzo seems most consistent but the others seem to have higher upside. Rauber has a good history with hills. Starliper of course is desired to be on the line.
Yes. Rauber and Mareno each came through with clutch performances this season. If Rauber can place high again at regionals she might be their #7. I agree that Quarzo has been the most consistent. It will be a tough call.
Who do you think will run if there is no Starliper?
If Starliper can't go I would sit Rauber at regionals and plan on running her. Regionals is flat and fast, not her strength. Quarzo and Mareno would seem to have earned a spot.
Yes. Rauber and Mareno each came through with clutch performances this season. If Rauber can place high again at regionals she might be their #7. I agree that Quarzo has been the most consistent. It will be a tough call.
Who do you think will run if there is no Starliper?
If Starliper can't go I would sit Rauber at regionals and plan on running her. Regionals is flat and fast, not her strength. Quarzo and Mareno would seem to have earned a spot.
trust me, marlee will run
if she does not post on her blog then shes totally running nationals!
just banking on the fact that ND's katie thornson(syd's former teammate) finished 6th behind sam bush at panorama farms and syd ran faster than thornson at both nuttycombe and joe piane .. basically katie ran the race syd should have ran in panorama farms .. if syd didnt have an off day and finished behind sam, nc state could have scored 25 and not 34, nc state won it last year with 20 points (not a big difference)
nc state at their best day is still unbeatable, but the problem is, they have not had a "best day" as a team yet, but whats good is that all these problems are weeks before nationals so they can fix it, at nuttycombe, unm tied with nc state, with sam bush having an off day, then they changed her tactic, and she ran like herself again
so lets say that nc state goes to nationals, katelyn and kelsey doing what they do best per usual, sam and syd runs like their usual self, and marlee comes back ... no ones beating nc state
thats the plan, up to them to "execute" it as what katelyn refers to it