Gar, my boy, you were taking about massive red wave, having over 247 house seats, and 53 + senate seats
Why can't jokers just admit they were wrong, instead of moving the goal posts.
See the title of this thread. Why does Rojo try to spin just like you?
I was wrong about the red wave and so were many others. I never predicted a specific House number, I said a GOP majority only. For the Senate, I predicted 52 GOP seats with 51 being the worst case scenario. As of right now, my House prediction looks correct and my Senate result is still in play.
It just keeps getting worse for the Dems. RCP is now projecting a 54 seat GOP for the Senate. Wow! Don Bolduc has surged into the lead in NH (another upset if true). Patty Murray should win in WA, but her opponent is making it a close race- can the GOP can end up with 55 seats? Probably not, but I'm putting it out there.
My prediction of a 52 seat GOP is looking more like a minimum.
Hahahahahahahahahaha.
Disco here you are saying 52 as a minimum. Now you are saying that you said 51 was your minimum. You say so much that nobody knows what you said EXCEPT you were wrong.
Disco here you are saying 52 as a minimum. Now you are saying that you said 51 was your minimum. You say so much that nobody knows what you said EXCEPT you were wrong.
I said 51 was my worst case scenario. I posted the prediction maps back on 10/18 on a different thread. Try and keep up, kid.
Disco here you are saying 52 as a minimum. Now you are saying that you said 51 was your minimum. You say so much that nobody knows what you said EXCEPT you were wrong.
I said 51 was my worst case scenario. I posted the prediction maps back on 10/18 on a different thread. Try and keep up, kid.
Yes except you changed it to 52. You cannot read what you wrote? You seem to know little about this sort of thing. You remind me of a sports fan who always thinks his team will win.
I said 51 was my worst case scenario. I posted the prediction maps back on 10/18 on a different thread. Try and keep up, kid.
Yes except you changed it to 52. You cannot read what you wrote? You seem to know little about this sort of thing. You remind me of a sports fan who always thinks his team will win.
Again, my prediction was for 52 seats with a worst case scenario of 51. I posted this way back on 10/18. Look it up, that's your job, not mine.
Yes except you changed it to 52. You cannot read what you wrote? You seem to know little about this sort of thing. You remind me of a sports fan who always thinks his team will win.
Again, my prediction was for 52 seats with a worst case scenario of 51. I posted this way back on 10/18. Look it up, that's your job, not mine.
Here's the compilation of Gary being very very wrong. Every single thing he predicted turned out wrong, assuming NV SEN stays D.
Nate Silver is a glorified poll reader, whose record is nothing to crow about. I follow Rich Baris "the people's pundit" his record destroys 538's. I'm holding firm with a GOP majority in the Senate at 52-48 minimum. Walker will beat the 'Warlock', in Ohio, the dem Sen incumbent is behind and in PA, Fetterman can hardly speak since his stroke and Oz will take it. I believe NH can flip to red too. The Red Earthquake is coming.
Another possible GOP flip: Laxalt has leads in the Senate race for NV over Dem incumbent, Masto. Your over-reliance on 538 will spell doom.
NV SEN update, From Andrea Mitchell, a good reporter. Sounds like the R is still leading but the remaining votes are coming from Las Vegas so likely to be heavily Dem. Which is why odds are still 80%+ for a D win.
Breaking from Nevada per @SteveKornaki tonight’s batch of votes from Washoe County (Reno) has helped Cortes Masto whittle Laxalt’s statewide lead down to 8054 votes, less than 1%. Still to come 65,000 ballots dropped off in drop boxes on Election Day in Clark County, Las Vegas
Let me try to explain what a ‘wave’ looks like. In 2010, the GOP flipped 6 governorships, 20 state legislative chambers, 6 senate seats and 63 House seats while winning the popular vote by 6.8%
This year, so far, they’ve lost governorships in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, NY, Kansas, and very possibly Arizona and Nevada. They also lost a senate seat in PA. GOP lost legislative chambers in PA and MI. They may be able to eke out a senate win in Nevada.
So the argument for a “red wave” is “maybe if we can win a runoff in Georgia and the final count in AZ, NV… that will give us 51 seats in the senate”…
If there is a red-earthquake, I sure hope the GOP doesn't view this as a sign that they need Trump. The GOP would be doing even better if they hadn't nominated some morons that Trump supports like Walker.
I still laugh that Trump is viewed as a winner The guy almost lost to Hilary and did lose to a comatose Biden and yet his ego is causing him to contemplate coming back again? Let's hope he gets destroyed by DeSantis.
And let's hope the Dems learn from the red-wave. Andrew Sullivan have a brilliant piece out explaining why he's abandoning the Dems this election to try to send the Dems a mesage. Your far left policies are destroying the country and threaten the future of democracy. He fears if the center is destroyed and we have to choose between far right and far left, we will definitely choose far right.
I'm happy with either Trump or DeSantis as the 2024 nominee. My Senate prediction of 52 seats looks like a minimum, a 54 seat GOP is RCP's prediction and 55th seat might be in play, a GOP House majority is assured and few GOP governor pickups are on tap:
Dixon in MI
Zeldin in NY (Huuuuge upset if true)
Mastriano in PA (tonight's Trump rally with Dr Oz is a massive boost)
Lastly, the Red Earthquake IS coming (there is no "if").
Let me try to explain what a ‘wave’ looks like. In 2010, the GOP flipped 6 governorships, 20 state legislative chambers, 6 senate seats and 63 House seats while winning the popular vote by 6.8%
This year, so far, they’ve lost governorships in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, NY, Kansas, and very possibly Arizona and Nevada. They also lost a senate seat in PA. GOP lost legislative chambers in PA and MI. They may be able to eke out a senate win in Nevada.
So the argument for a “red wave” is “maybe if we can win a runoff in Georgia and the final count in AZ, NV… that will give us 51 seats in the senate”…
I also missed that the democrats flipped the governorships in Massachusetts and Maryland. The GOP is also about to fumble on Secretaries of state; AZ, NV, MI are all going democrat. And Raffensberger won in Georgia after drawing the ire of Trump. Go on… tell me about how great this was that the GOP will have a 9-seat majority in the house. THEY WERE RUNNING AGAINST A PARTY IN POWER, WITH A PRESIDENT WHO HAS THE LOWEST APPROVAL RATING SINCE THEY STARTED MEASURING APPROVAL RATINGS. And this is the best they could come up with. Someone say the DEVASTATED line.
* Inflation or the overall shaky economy is just not an issue that could generate the needed Red votes at the time. (I'm not saying those aren't serious issues.)
* Polling agencies like Trafalgar gave team Red tremendous overconfidence. Some races that they said were within the margin of error ended up being Blue + 13 pts.
* We can only speculate as to how much the re-emergence of abortion as a national issue helped Team Blue. It definitely helped some amount.
* Whatever your political position, I think we can agree that it's a bad thing that election races are becoming so close and the results taking almost a full week to determine. I'm not saying that the elections are rigged or something. I only mean that they are starting to have this very negative and boring vibe because neither side really feels like they're "winning" in any real sense and people stop caring about the unknown results after several days and maybe even feel unenthusiastic about voting next time. Control of the Senate is going to be like a +1/-1 and hinge on like 5 races all within 0.5%. That's not a good thing for either the winning or losing side. And it could be this way for the next election and who knows how many after that?
Republicans, don't blame Trump for the democrats historic election showing. Blame yourselves for enabling Trump and playing along with the big lie. Blame yourself for being so fearful of Trump and people low all respect for you. Blame yourself for going along with Trump lies and democracy attacks out of fear and pure self interest.
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