Adidas Boys Dream Mile Prediction Thread

Torabus wrote:

if Fisher, Maton, and Tamagno all stay injury free and have a good year of training, they could go sub-4.

I'd say there is a high probability that we see a 6th man do it.

That's what everyone said after Burcham/Montoya/Cheserek/McGorty/Arroyo/Saarel/Thomson/Wynne/Malone's junior year.

It takes more than talent. The stars have to align.

george oscar bluth wrote:

That's what everyone said after Burcham/Montoya/Cheserek/McGorty/Arroyo/Saarel/Thomson/Wynne/Malone's junior year.

It takes more than talent. The stars have to align.

Exactly

They need to be 100% on to do it and you can't expect that when they only get one or two opportunities, several weeks after state finals and 1000 miles from home

george oscar bluth wrote:

Torabus wrote:

if Fisher, Maton, and Tamagno all stay injury free and have a good year of training, they could go sub-4.

I'd say there is a high probability that we see a 6th man do it.

That's what everyone said after Burcham/Montoya/Cheserek/McGorty/Arroyo/Saarel/Thomson/Wynne/Malone's junior year.

It takes more than talent. The stars have to align.

Not true that people said it after Mcgorty, Saarel, Thomsen, rest of the end of the list. They weren't that good after junior year (4:09 and 9:06 for mcgorty, 4:16 and 9:01 for Saarel). Montoya, Burcham, and Cheserek did flop somewhat surprisingly but they each had their own problems, problems which Maton and Fisher don't (although they could have their own issues too). Odds are that someone new bursts onto the scene next year and also gets close to 4.

I think that both Maton and Fisher have the ability to get sub-4 next year. Fisher because he can still drop a lot of time by focusing on running, Maton because his improvement curve is insane and he still has more races this year. Whether they will or not remains to be seen.

I listed them all as they were all in the same class - not because people said ALL of them would break 4. Just that with a field of such strong returners many people touted the next sub 4 was coming. If you don't think Burcham, Montoya, and Cheserek were hyped up as being able to break 4 after their junior years, then you weren't paying attention.

No I agree that they were touted as the next sub-4s. Burcham didn't because mental reasons it seemed like (lack of desire? Partying? Don't want to make false assumptions but a deterioration of fitness didn't make sense), Montoya seemed burnt out from high mileage, and I don't know what was Cheserek's deal. Neither Maton not Fisher do superhigh mileage, they've had great improvement, and the desire to do well obviously seems to be there. Of course that isn't to say that they'll do it--I think not likely than not that they won't--but they certainly have a shot.

jaydid wrote:

I thought you followed the sport. How do you not know what state the Foot Locker national champion is from?

How am I supposed to know where all the top HS athletes are from? I also don't follow the HS ranks as much as I used to, I lost a lot of interest after Lukas Verzbicas graduated. Loved that kid. The 2011 dream mile was legit.