You do need to decide on a goal MP, but you don't need to decide it today. The pace you hit for 14 at MP is a pretty good predictor. Re-evaluate after your peak workout. (And DON'T re-evaluate it at mile 10 of your race. Save that for mile 20 at least.)
I ran the 20 with last 14 @ mp today. I averaged close to 6:38 for those 14 miles after 6 miles averaging about 8:01. The way I was feeling at the end would be bad to feel at mile 14 of the race, but very good to feel at mile 20. I was happy to be done, but certainly could have kept going at the same pace.
gidbob wrote:
I ran the 20 with last 14 @ mp today. I averaged close to 6:38 for those 14 miles after 6 miles averaging about 8:01. The way I was feeling at the end would be bad to feel at mile 14 of the race, but very good to feel at mile 20. I was happy to be done, but certainly could have kept going at the same pace.
With how this went I gotta go for 2:55 right?
Go for it. You can also go for 2:56, 2:57. No reason to be absolute about 2:55 or 3. Those 2,3 seconds/mile make a difference
You can even get wild about it and go for 2:58 or 2:54
2:56 wrote:
Go for it. You can also go for 2:56, 2:57. No reason to be absolute about 2:55 or 3. Those 2,3 seconds/mile make a difference
2:54:59 and 2:55:01 would feel more different to me than 2:55:01 and 2:59:59
14 @ MP in a 20 miler with no taper should be really close to true MP. If the weather is good in AZ, 6:38 effort should result in something a little faster. It looks like you'd be ready to hold 6:35-6:40 in good weather on a flat course. Dial into effort because that might have you seeing 6:25-6:35 on race day, but you still need to be smart enough to not see 6:1x's. So idk how important it is to chase 2:55 exactly. You're ready for 2:53/2:54 effort. That'll have you moving under that pace in AZ as long as the weather is decent & you fuel well.
NERunner03533 wrote:
14 @ MP in a 20 miler with no taper should be really close to true MP. If the weather is good in AZ, 6:38 effort should result in something a little faster. It looks like you'd be ready to hold 6:35-6:40 in good weather on a flat course. Dial into effort because that might have you seeing 6:25-6:35 on race day, but you still need to be smart enough to not see 6:1x's. So idk how important it is to chase 2:55 exactly. You're ready for 2:53/2:54 effort. That'll have you moving under that pace in AZ as long as the weather is decent & you fuel well.
I'm so nervous about blowing up that I don't see myself pulling ahead of the 2:55 pacer until maybe the last 3 miles
I ran 2:53. Things went exactly according to plan
great job! congratulations. I hope your recovery goes well.
gidbob wrote:
I ran 2:53. Things went exactly according to plan
Race report please !
I'm not doing a reddit style one. I don't want to write it, and you guys don't want to read it