Yared Nuguse chasing mile WR at BU with Wavelights - Official Discussion Thread

Salvitore Stitchmo wrote:

ChatLRC wrote:

He ran 3:46 four weeks ago and 3:43 six months ago, so the only thing that we know for sure is that he's capable of it.

*18 months ago.

3.46.63 at Millrose and I just checked the splits they were better than I thought I had noted at the time - 57.4, 55.9, 56.9, 56.4. With WL they can tidy up that opening 800m because that second lap might have been a fraction fast because of the slightly slower first lap. It's possible he could get half a second there. Big one will be the BU surface vs the Armory. BU is just quicker (the plywood, the smarter curve setup).

I think all things equal that performance from Millrose was worth maybe a full second (and scrap change) at BU with WL and the track surface. Does that translate to basically a sub 3.45 tomorrow a handful of weeks on? I personally give him a 50/50 chance of doing it.

Same same but different wrote:

Salvitore Stitchmo wrote:

*18 months ago.

3.46.63 at Millrose and I just checked the splits they were better than I thought I had noted at the time - 57.4, 55.9, 56.9, 56.4. With WL they can tidy up that opening 800m because that second lap might have been a fraction fast because of the slightly slower first lap. It's possible he could get half a second there. Big one will be the BU surface vs the Armory. BU is just quicker (the plywood, the smarter curve setup).

I think all things equal that performance from Millrose was worth maybe a full second (and scrap change) at BU with WL and the track surface. Does that translate to basically a sub 3.45 tomorrow a handful of weeks on? I personally give him a 50/50 chance of doing it.

I don’t think the BU surface is any faster than the Armory - it is brand new (was just relaid with the newest Mondo)

Salvitore Stitchmo wrote:

ChatLRC wrote:

He ran 3:46 four weeks ago and 3:43 six months ago, so the only thing that we know for sure is that he's capable of it.

*18 months ago.

3.46.63 at Millrose and I just checked the splits they were better than I thought I had noted at the time - 57.4, 55.9, 56.9, 56.4. With WL they can tidy up that opening 800m because that second lap might have been a fraction fast because of the slightly slower first lap. It's possible he could get half a second there. Big one will be the BU surface vs the Armory. BU is just quicker (the plywood, the smarter curve setup).

I think all things equal that performance from Millrose was worth maybe a full second (and scrap change) at BU with WL and the track surface. Does that translate to basically a sub 3.45 tomorrow a handful of weeks on? I personally give him a 50/50 chance of doing it.

Same same but different wrote:

Salvitore Stitchmo wrote:

*18 months ago.

3.46.63 at Millrose and I just checked the splits they were better than I thought I had noted at the time - 57.4, 55.9, 56.9, 56.4. With WL they can tidy up that opening 800m because that second lap might have been a fraction fast because of the slightly slower first lap. It's possible he could get half a second there. Big one will be the BU surface vs the Armory. BU is just quicker (the plywood, the smarter curve setup).

I think all things equal that performance from Millrose was worth maybe a full second (and scrap change) at BU with WL and the track surface. Does that translate to basically a sub 3.45 tomorrow a handful of weeks on? I personally give him a 50/50 chance of doing it.

I don’t think the BU surface is any faster than the Armory - it is brand new (was just relaid with the newest Mondo)