1:47/3:35 at 20, plus 13th in this great NCAA xc field, tells me that, awkward form and all, he is going to be much improved in track this year and he is going to run 1:45/3:31/7:35/13:05 before he's done at UVA.
I think he may hit the upper distance marks. Not the lower. . Murphy is better than him, his 15 PR is not as fast, but he is 5 secs better at 3K and 10 at 5K. And I am not even sure he is running 13:05 this year, Gary has run 7:47 and 13:31 once. You are giving away a lot of seconds in your estimate. Not limiting him, just not giving away 26 at 5K, 12 and almost 5 plus . Thats a lot of giving in the Holiday spirit.
His pr's now are 1:47/3:32.03/7:36/13:05. He's run 1:47 the past two years in April. The indoor mile in 3:48.82 is worth 3:31.87. I would bet that he knocks out a low 7:30s 3k this winter. The 1:45 800 should be there if he runs it on the circuit, because with his added endurance (13:05/7th in a very strong NCAA xc field) he should be able to run 3:47 this year and you do not find a lot of 3:47 milers who cannot run 1:45. In this race, it was notable that the bob, his side to side upper body movement, was gone until the pace picked up in the last couple laps. I think that they are finally smoothing out his stride and it will show in the performances.
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