If he gets good pacing & conditions are ok, that will be the ballpark. I call a 7:17.55 just for fun as I really believe JI can run 7:15-17 if the stars align. That close in Paris 5k was exceptional. 2 x 3:38 is possible with a 3:26.
dude, what 🤯
Beautiful prediction. The power of positivity and a solid logic. Nicely done there, you love to see it...
If he gets good pacing & conditions are ok, that will be the ballpark. I call a 7:17.55 just for fun as I really believe JI can run 7:15-17 if the stars align. That close in Paris 5k was exceptional. 2 x 3:38 is possible with a 3:26.
My conclusion was totally incorrect with hindsight.
I never claimed I was the bees knees and I am never afraid to make mistakes.
Just to move along the conversation
I have no idea the skepticism anyone could have going in. 3:27.8 holding back and missing drafting with 26.8 last 200. My only question was the wind/heat.
I do love him being unsure of his fitness after a conservatively-run sub-3:28 where he passed on a lot of drafting to save for the last 200. I can assure you Jakob it’s fine.
Yeah I agree I don't think his fitness is an issue (ie. top end ability to run times), the only thing is that at this point in the season the chances he will just have a slightly off day due to cumulative fatigue are obviously much higher than the first half of the season. So for me there is just as much chance he goes out and runs the WR as there is he is a little flat and runs 7.22/3 or something like that. Prior to Paris I would I have said there was a far greater chance that he could utilize his max ceiling and break it.
His volume of racing at this level is astounding. This will be his 15th race of the outdoor season including two championships and I also include prelims because they still require/have a physical and emotional effort/impact. He is great for the sport nobody could ever argue that.
That being said he always seems very much at home with the safety net of the lights in his peripheral vision and we know he likes this track. I am honestly less certain he can break this record than I was a week ago but I still think he is going to.
Talk about a "safe" post! Can you be more on the fence?
As I posted a couple months ago, Jakob's achilles issue over the winter was a blessing in disguise. It delayed his training just enough to allow him to build his aerobic fitness later in the season, thus allowing him to be stronger and run faster later in Diamond League season. Combining his speed work with racing (15 races), the dude was READY to rip some fast times. The 3000m WR was inevitable, everything was aligned perfectly to run 7:17. Now the question is he going to take a stab at the 5000m WR in the next couple weeks? If he decides to go for it, I think he'll do it.
If he gets good pacing & conditions are ok, that will be the ballpark. I call a 7:17.55 just for fun as I really believe JI can run 7:15-17 if the stars align. That close in Paris 5k was exceptional. 2 x 3:38 is possible with a 3:26.
Talk about a "safe" post! Can you be more on the fence?
As I posted a couple months ago, Jakob's achilles issue over the winter was a blessing in disguise. It delayed his training just enough to allow him to build his aerobic fitness later in the season, thus allowing him to be stronger and run faster later in Diamond League season. Combining his speed work with racing (15 races), the dude was READY to rip some fast times. The 3000m WR was inevitable, everything was aligned perfectly to run 7:17. Now the question is he going to take a stab at the 5000m WR in the next couple weeks? If he decides to go for it, I think he'll do it.
Sub 12:30! You heard it here first...AGAIN!
So really this was this 3rd look at the 3000m (the 2 mile where obviously he ran 3000m en-route at a very high level/pace and the DL final last season). The first two were not concerted record attempts but they gave him valuable experience over the distance and some idea of what to expect when eventually he got around to going for it (today).
There is no way he is coming out in basically his first attempt at really running a fast 5000m and breaking the WR. That expectation is completely unreasonable. I don't know when he's going to start looking at that record seriously (I don't think it's this season) but he's going to want and need at least 1 or 2 looks at 12.40.0/the high 12.30's before he locks in an attempt like we saw today.
Btw, what exactly are you claiming to be the first at proclaiming re Jakob? That he would break this record? I'm trying to think of what incredible hot-take regarding record breaking posts I've seen from you but can't think of anything.
Amazing. Your comment was that nobody ever will break the record - and that was all based on words Jakob said in an interview? Quite the high bar for an analysis you’ve got there.
Talk about a "safe" post! Can you be more on the fence?
As I posted a couple months ago, Jakob's achilles issue over the winter was a blessing in disguise. It delayed his training just enough to allow him to build his aerobic fitness later in the season, thus allowing him to be stronger and run faster later in Diamond League season. Combining his speed work with racing (15 races), the dude was READY to rip some fast times. The 3000m WR was inevitable, everything was aligned perfectly to run 7:17. Now the question is he going to take a stab at the 5000m WR in the next couple weeks? If he decides to go for it, I think he'll do it.
Haha - your "analysis"? You made an "analysis" based on words. On Jakobs words? And your "analysis" was that "suffice to say no one in this race is at the 7.20.67 level. Or EVER will be."?
Seriously get the f--- out of here you absolute muppet. Just grow a set and just admit you got it totally wrong and that you had no idea what you were talking about. Do it - growth moment mate.
you are probably the biggest a hole on this site. congrats.