I am not sure what you mean by "tweaked the numbers", you probably refer to using actual emission data rather than projections to test the model. This is not "tweaking", but rather a much more rigorous way to assess the model accuracy. The models predict sea surface temperatures, that are measured by satellites. There are no "weather stations" involved. There are different models because the science and computing power evolved; also, they are based on different approaches. Mostly, they all spit out very similar predictions that are in good agreement with the temperatures observed 50 years later. The quality of the data before 1970 is kind of irrelevant, as the paper compares the predictions to the temperatures actually observed AFTER the model was published. There are no accurate models before the 1970 because they require a computer to perform the calculations. The fact that models created in a decade where temperatures were kind of unusual are so accurate 50 years later is actually kind of impressive. Again, read the paper and test the models yourself if you think the paper is bogus. If you could show that the paper is wrong, write a letter to the journal and ask for a retraction.
What he is referencing by "tweaked the numbers" is that they revised their reference data for temperatures before 1950 and made them cooler claiming the instruments used were not accurate and calibrated incorrectly. So the adjustment is "justified".
It's all nonsense. "We didn't get the result we want? Must be because the reference data was bad. Let's change it. Oh wow now we get the result we wanted". If you believe this garbage you're a moron
The raw data for surface temperature sets do incorporate a number of adjustments attempting to correct for observation biases in the raw data set, but the net global effect is to warm the period prior to about 1960.
I read the summary which admits they tweaked the numbers and I'm aware that they cherry pick the data points from the weather stations which fit the narrative.
If the models worked there would be a handful or less. There's dozens of models which all spit out different predictions.
And all of the warming is based on an imaginary baseline temperature. There are zero weather records for the overwhelming majority of the planet. There is sparse data anywhere outside of the US or prior to 1880 and minimal data from anywhere else up until 1950.
There's a reason all the models start in the 70s which were colder than most decades prior especially the 1950s and 1930s.
I am not sure what you mean by "tweaked the numbers", you probably refer to using actual emission data rather than projections to test the model. This is not "tweaking", but rather a much more rigorous way to assess the model accuracy. The models predict sea surface temperatures, that are measured by satellites. There are no "weather stations" involved. There are different models because the science and computing power evolved; also, they are based on different approaches. Mostly, they all spit out very similar predictions that are in good agreement with the temperatures observed 50 years later. The quality of the data before 1970 is kind of irrelevant, as the paper compares the predictions to the temperatures actually observed AFTER the model was published. There are no accurate models before the 1970 because they require a computer to perform the calculations. The fact that models created in a decade where temperatures were kind of unusual are so accurate 50 years later is actually kind of impressive. Again, read the paper and test the models yourself if you think the paper is bogus. If you could show that the paper is wrong, write a letter to the journal and ask for a retraction.
They were not "tweaking" the numbers they were altering the data to fit their Global Warming narrative.
I have a question for someone who is very intelligent.
Why is it that the people who for years haven't believed scientists about global warming (these people claim its a hoax)
Are the same people who didn't believe the medical officials when they were told Covid was serious and you need a vaccination (these people claim it was a hoax)
Are the same people who really believe Donald Trump when he tells them that he won the election in 2020?
Could someone smart explain that to me?
Aah, I think you've asked THE question.
I believe the reason is purely a political one. If you come from that side of the aisle (Republican, right wing, MAG@, whatever) then its something that you will defend, a hill you will die on.
Its not that many of these people believe what they are saying, I'm sure many of them are bright enough to know climate change is real and man made and vaccines are effective and Trump did lose, its that they wont ever admit it.
They MUST do and say the opposite of the opposition (Democrats) at the expense of denying science and the actual reality of the Trump monstrosity.
I have a question for someone who is very intelligent.
Why is it that the people who for years haven't believed scientists about global warming (these people claim its a hoax)
Are the same people who didn't believe the medical officials when they were told Covid was serious and you need a vaccination (these people claim it was a hoax)
Are the same people who really believe Donald Trump when he tells them that he won the election in 2020?
Could someone smart explain that to me?
Aah, I think you've asked THE question.
I believe the reason is purely a political one. If you come from that side of the aisle (Republican, right wing, MAG@, whatever) then its something that you will defend, a hill you will die on.
Its not that many of these people believe what they are saying, I'm sure many of them are bright enough to know climate change is real and man made and vaccines are effective and Trump did lose, its that they wont ever admit it.
They MUST do and say the opposite of the opposition (Democrats) at the expense of denying science and the actual reality of the Trump monstrosity.
It's 2024. Do you still believe the vaccine prevents you from getting COVID and prevents you from spreading COVID if you do get it?
It's a paper written by a scientist. It's an academic paper.
He's not a "rando" he's a PhD from Dayton University.
A note written by a scientist is not considered a paper unless it is published after peer review. Anyway, you googled the wrong David Goldman. The David Goldman that wrote the note is not a PhD and he is not affiliated with any university or research institution.
It's a paper written by a scientist. It's an academic paper.
He's not a "rando" he's a PhD from Dayton University.
A note written by a scientist is not considered a paper unless it is published after peer review. Anyway, you googled the wrong David Goldman. The David Goldman that wrote the note is not a PhD and he is not affiliated with any university or research institution.
"Adult's" reference is Daniel Goldman, not David:
Hello, my name is Daniel Goldman and this site is about the most important brand I own: myself.
I am an aspiring polymath and a rōnin scholar. That is to say that I enjoy studying many different topics, even if they don’t seem related, and I do my own research. I am not part of any institution, and have largely rejected academia in its current form. Instead, I choose largely to publish using open repositories for omniprints. Some of my interests are politics, investing and trading, mathematics, including probability theory and statistics, the scientific and historical study of religion and alcohol, as well as gaming and other geek related topics.
Hello, my name is Daniel Goldman and this site is about the most important brand I own: myself. I am an aspiring polymath and a rōnin scholar. That is to say that I enjoy studying many different topics, even if they don't see...
I know it's very bad for many areas (severe weather) but it's been nice in the Northeast. The winters have become more mild with much less snow. I used to have a plowing contract, but stopped that three years ago and haven't regretted it
Our autumns are extended and beautiful. I love to cross country ski and that hasn't been good. If we do get snowfall it seems that the snow ground cover melts rather quickly. We get a few more insects with the warmer weather that's a negative.
We don't have problems with hurricanes, droughts or flooding or fires (although we did get some smoke from Canada which sucked).
Global warming has given us some really great worry free weather.
It's the backwards hick Republicans in the south that are feeling the brunt of global warming, but they ignorantly continue to support morons like Trump.
I have a question for someone who is very intelligent.
Why is it that the people who for years haven't believed scientists about global warming (these people claim its a hoax)
Are the same people who didn't believe the medical officials when they were told Covid was serious and you need a vaccination (these people claim it was a hoax)
Are the same people who really believe Donald Trump when he tells them that he won the election in 2020?
Could someone smart explain that to me?
Dr. Fauci isn't a "medical official" he's a politician.
It's been proven that the vaccine doesn't stop the transmission of COVID or prevent you from getting it yourself. When the "experts" go on TV and say things that aren't demonstrably false normally people question it. When you lie and mandate vaccines that don't work or threaten people's jobs and livelihoods if they don't comply with unscientific demands people question it.
And no one alive can say the 2020 election was legitimate based on the data. The voter rolls are absolutely filthy and millions and millions of ballots were counted without having any idea if they were valid or not.
When the media is 99% Democrat and they've been running with a "Trump is worse than Hitler" narrative 24/7 for 4 years It's very likely that well meaning people will send in ballots for their parents in nursing homes and siblings who never vote and adult children who never vote.
I have a question for someone who is very intelligent.
Why is it that the people who for years haven't believed scientists about global warming (these people claim its a hoax)
Are the same people who didn't believe the medical officials when they were told Covid was serious and you need a vaccination (these people claim it was a hoax)
Are the same people who really believe Donald Trump when he tells them that he won the election in 2020?
Could someone smart explain that to me?
Covid wasn't serious. Look up the hard data and do the math yourself. It was as deadly as the common cold. Don't read some sensationalized article written by a journalist. Actually pull the numbers and read the studies. The math will not match what they claim. Keep in mind that even the hard data has a ton of limitations to it. For example, many covid deaths early on were never verified to be covid, but instead assumed covid and that people who had covid at the time of death, but died for unrelated reasons like a motorcycle accident or fentanyl overdose were also counted in the total.
I have a question for someone who is very intelligent.
Why is it that the people who for years haven't believed scientists about global warming (these people claim its a hoax)
Are the same people who didn't believe the medical officials when they were told Covid was serious and you need a vaccination (these people claim it was a hoax)
Are the same people who really believe Donald Trump when he tells them that he won the election in 2020?
Could someone smart explain that to me?
Because not too long ago scientists were predicting an ice age.
Because the government had previously pushed vaccines that did more harm than good. And because these vaccines were never tested and every week new data comes out that the vaccines were actually more dangerous than the virus.
And because democrats claimed in 2000 and in 2016 that the elections had been rigged. In 2020, democrats were speaking publicly about the voting machines being susceptible to hacking and they lacked any security - then did a 180 when those voting machines gave Biden the win and the dems claimed the voting machines were unhackable.
It's almost as if the government will lie OVER AND OVER to get more control over our lives.
Smart people don't automatically believe everything that the government says. Smart people do their own research and follow the facts.
But go ahead and give up your freedoms and your luxuries in the name of climate change while ALL the billionaire climate activists buy multi-million dollar houses just feet from the ocean. They really have a lot of confidence that sea levels are going to rise, don't they!
And yet another.
I'm proud that so many of you are feeling safe enough to be coming out of the closet at this time.
So why did so many more people than expected start dying when right when Covid showed up?
(and if you claim it was because of the lockdown you'll just prove you're completely ignorant on the subject)
Not saying covid isn't real. It is. And it's mortality is no different than the common cold. Hence why you saw only an increase in deaths of very old people. Look into the data a little more. People weren't dropping dead. Old people who are immunocompromised died
COVID's mortality is no different than the common cold. But millions of folks (mostly elderly and immunocompromised) died from COVID who would not have died from the common cold.
There is no evidence that covid is more mild or would be more mild because of the vaccine. It's complete conjecture. And I'm not talking about studies that have come out recently, I'm talking about at the time they made these claims. I know this because this is my job to follow vaccines and infectious diseases
I think that you mean that there is no evidence that covid is more mild because of the vaccine except for the fact that the mortality rate across all age groups is 11x lower for those with the vaccine than for those unvaccinated.
No one ever said that if vaccinated you couldn't get COVID or pass it along to others. They said the virus would be more mild with the vaccine.
The bodies stored outside of a number of hospital because there was no room is something I have never seen before. We have colds and flu epidemics around for a long time but never saw that before.
Now you people who don't believe COVID is serious and vaccinations don't work, and don't believe in global warming and believe Trump about the stolen 2020 election;
Now be honest did you believe Q actually existed? Be honest.
That's exactly what the media and Democrat politicians said. Exactly.
No one ever said that if vaccinated you couldn't get COVID or pass it along to others. They said the virus would be more mild with the vaccine.
The bodies stored outside of a number of hospital because there was no room is something I have never seen before. We have colds and flu epidemics around for a long time but never saw that before.
Now you people who don't believe COVID is serious and vaccinations don't work, and don't believe in global warming and believe Trump about the stolen 2020 election;
Now be honest did you believe Q actually existed? Be honest.
That's exactly what the media and Democrat politicians said. Exactly.
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