VENTOLIN, what is your prediction for Mo Farah's 1500 today?

ventolin^3 wrote:

rather than speculate wildly ( & lose badly as you woud have ), put some of that hard-earned cash of yours to something which wouda been of far more benefit to you in your wagering prognostications

for $1.53 for 1y

http://www.jundo.co.uk/

Everyone who was trying to make a bet better buy this thing.

While we are at it, any thoughts on what Kiprop might be capable of at 800/3000? He seems to have pretty damn good endurance in longer events, and obviously now is a 3:27 guy that can probably go faster than that.

it is very hard to work out his line as his over-distance is rubbish ( ? 7'42pb years back )

his brace of 1'43.1s were nonsense as he ran them like a 1500 guy running his 1st ever 800 with split of 51+ in both - good for high-1'42 if he'd run it hard with a low-50 split & use his tremendous 1500 ability to hang on

his 1500 today has gotta be worth ~ ? 3'27.00 - 3'27.25 at even-pace

( ridiculous 53-flat he went thru !!!

& kicked before the bell !! )

his 400 is just this 48+ during training at iten on scuffy looking ancient dirt track

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LvwP8oCmq6I

i'd start withs very wide prelims of maybe

46.9 / 1'42.50 -> 2'11.63 , 3'26.98 , 7'26.59

47.0 / 1'42.60 -> 2'11.71 , 3'27.00 , 7'26.25

( ignore the 3k as he's a 1500/800 guy & unlikely to crack 7'30 off it )

i do think he shoud be able to run mid-1'42 currently if he really does attack an 800 properly with a low-50 start

i actually don't think he's significantly any better than in his 3'28.8pb last year when he finished with ? 53

Symmonds did well, 3:34, but for those who could watch this, what pace did he follow along the way. this was the race, if any, to get a huge breakthrough for him. I still think that he's got to lose more weight to maximize at 1500m. He also is not a real risk taker in races and always leaves it late and only ran 1:42.95 in a 1:40.9 race because he gave it his usual cushion but that was far faster than usual. He has more talent than he shows because of his racing strategy. For the present, 1:42.95/3:34 puts him up pretty high at the all time American 800/1500 runners. Scott would be 1:45.09/3:31, Wohlhuter 1:44/?, Wheating 1:44.5/3:30, Andrews 1:44.5/3:34, Webb 1:43.8/3:30, Manzano 1:44.5/3:32, DK 1:44 or 1:43 high/3:31.96, who else?

Thanks for the thoughts.

Will be interesting to see if he can progress any further, and just how fast he can go in a focused WR attempt, which apparently he is planning next year:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uTzmuYJRQg