BYU opener--------- wow!!!

Div I Cross-Country wrote:

An EVEN interpretation for the same athlete in the same position could still mean that position’s strength increases if that athlete has gotten stronger year-over-year.

Div I Cross-Country wrote:

Div I Cross-Country wrote:

Based on yesterday’s showing, here is my interpretation of BYU’s current Top 7 runners (versus Stride Report’s earlier projection in parentheses):
#1 Hedengren (Hedengren)
#2 Hutchins (Hutchins)
#3 Chamberlain (Chamberlain)
#4 Rohatinsky (Rohatinsky)
#5 Roberts (Roberts)
#6 Goff (Macchia)
#7 Lovell (Lovell)
Roberts and Goff currently appear close, and might swap positions.

Here is the apparent current Top Seven versus last year’s Natty Squad (and my projected interpretation of the effect on that position, in parentheses):
#1 Hedengren vs Lowry; UPGRADE
#2 Hutchins vs Chamberlain; UPGRADE
#3 Chamberlain vs C. Alder; UPGRADE
#4 Rohatinsky vs Rohatinsky; EVEN
#5 Goff vs Hansen; EVEN-to-UPGRADE
#6 Roberts vs Roberts; EVEN
#7 Lovell vs Lovell; EVEN

Downvoters are welcome to explain where they disagree.

Div I Cross-Country wrote:

Div I Cross-Country wrote:

Based on yesterday’s showing, here is my interpretation of BYU’s current Top 7 runners (versus Stride Report’s earlier projection in parentheses):
#1 Hedengren (Hedengren)
#2 Hutchins (Hutchins)
#3 Chamberlain (Chamberlain)
#4 Rohatinsky (Rohatinsky)
#5 Roberts (Roberts)
#6 Goff (Macchia)
#7 Lovell (Lovell)
Roberts and Goff currently appear close, and might swap positions.

Here is the apparent current Top Seven versus last year’s Natty Squad (and my projected interpretation of the effect on that position, in parentheses):
#1 Hedengren vs Lowry; UPGRADE
#2 Hutchins vs Chamberlain; UPGRADE
#3 Chamberlain vs C. Alder; UPGRADE
#4 Rohatinsky vs Rohatinsky; EVEN
#5 Goff vs Hansen; EVEN-to-UPGRADE
#6 Roberts vs Roberts; EVEN
#7 Lovell vs Lovell; EVEN

Downvoters are welcome to explain where they disagree.

LetsRunSpecial wrote:

Div I Cross-Country wrote:

Downvoters are welcome to explain where they disagree.

Why don’t you consider it an upgrade at 4, 6 and 7? The same runners are supposed to improve in times and positions every year. This is particularly true for a freshman or sophomore. Also, don’t BYU have another star recruit?

Div I Cross-Country wrote:

How can you put the inexperienced Frosh, Macchia, ahead of Goff after what Goff displayed yesterday, particularly when you value “experience”?

I suspect Coach Taylor put the squad out there she has eyes on. Thus, I wouldn’t be surprised if Macchia redshirts this season.

Div I Cross-Country wrote:

LetsRunSpecial wrote:

Why don’t you consider it an upgrade at 4, 6 and 7? The same runners are supposed to improve in times and positions every year. This is particularly true for a freshman or sophomore. Also, don’t BYU have another star recruit?

The answer is in post #42. Yes, obviously the position got stronger even if the same athlete remains in that position.

LetsRunSpecial wrote:

Div I Cross-Country wrote:

The answer is in post #42. Yes, obviously the position got stronger even if the same athlete remains in that position.

You are contradicting yourself by labeling it even while admitting not even in the post right below it. Make up your mind.

byu roxssss wrote:

Check out the women's season opener today.... is anyone beating them? and this is without Jane!!!

Div I Cross-Country wrote:

LetsRunSpecial wrote:

You are contradicting yourself by labeling it even while admitting not even in the post right below it. Make up your mind.

Open your brain. I explained over a series of three posts, rather than trying to cram it all into the first post, which was already lengthy.

Since non-injured collegiate athletes typically get stronger year-over-year, it’s possible BYU UPGRADED every single position, 1 thru 7, even if the same athlete remains in the same position.

Again, the takeaway is BYU UPGRADED their 2024 Championship squad, quite possibly in every position! 👀

LetsRunSpecial wrote:

Div I Cross-Country wrote:

How can you put the inexperienced Frosh, Macchia, ahead of Goff after what Goff displayed yesterday, particularly when you value “experience”?

I suspect Coach Taylor put the squad out there she has eyes on. Thus, I wouldn’t be surprised if Macchia redshirts this season.

You mean Taylor has eyesher big gaggles on? Don’t write off Macchia in just two weeks. She is not going to BYU to red shirt.

Div I Cross-Country wrote:

LetsRunSpecial wrote:

You are contradicting yourself by labeling it even while admitting not even in the post right below it. Make up your mind.

Open your brain. I explained over a series of three posts, rather than trying to cram it all into the first post, which was already lengthy.

Since non-injured collegiate athletes typically get stronger year-over-year, it’s possible BYU UPGRADED every single position, 1 thru 7, even if the same athlete remains in the same position.

Again, the takeaway is BYU UPGRADED their 2024 Championship squad, quite possibly in every position! 👀

Whynot? wrote:

byu roxssss wrote:

Check out the women's season opener today.... is anyone beating them? and this is without Jane!!!

So why didn’t she race?

Div I Cross-Country wrote:

Whynot? wrote:

So why didn’t she race?

This race was a step to prepare, evaluate and determine the important 4-7’s. Jane’s and Hutchins places are likely already known (short of injury).

dead giveaway wrote:

Div I Cross-Country wrote:

Open your brain. I explained over a series of three posts, rather than trying to cram it all into the first post, which was already lengthy.

Since non-injured collegiate athletes typically get stronger year-over-year, it’s possible BYU UPGRADED every single position, 1 thru 7, even if the same athlete remains in the same position.

Again, the takeaway is BYU UPGRADED their 2024 Championship squad, quite possibly in every position! 👀

Assuming Hutchins is going to be available and healthy in November is foolish based on history. So far 1/3 on getting to the line at NCAA XC and that 1 was easily the worst XC race of her college career. Assuming she will be not only racing that day, but 2nd on the team and better than someone who was 31st last year is crazy.

rbtrackfan wrote:

Div I Cross-Country wrote:

Open your brain. I explained over a series of three posts, rather than trying to cram it all into the first post, which was already lengthy.

Since non-injured collegiate athletes typically get stronger year-over-year, it’s possible BYU UPGRADED every single position, 1 thru 7, even if the same athlete remains in the same position.

Again, the takeaway is BYU UPGRADED their 2024 Championship squad, quite possibly in every position! 👀

That may turn out to be true. We shall see. But their competition is not the 2024 BYU team.

patients wrote:

BYU has potential to be 'better than last year'.

I'd rather watch meets thru conference before making bold predictions to see how injuries and freshman are working out for top teams.

Winning the final has recently been more about 'health and running well on the day' than about how a team stacked up on paper.