If he is pacing at 5:15 pace he is not capable of going further than 30k. The only way he goes further is if they are slower than 5:15.
I understand that this board thinks that 1500 runners are capable of anything (see Jacob’s HM thread) so I expect several down votes.
you know he ran 13:00 for 5000 right?
i'm sure he's not in top marathon shape, but within about 3-4 months of focusing on any distance, he's faster than any woman in the world at any distance from 800-Marathon
if she runs away from him it's because he's been sitting on the couch
I wouldn’t bet on centro being able to run a 2:11:53… But we are talking about much slower paces. You would expect him to be able to run 5:15s all day long even if he is only in like 13:30 shape
This will be an interesting record attempt for sure. I don't think Keira is a doper, but for her to break the record at her age and with that mileague on her? It will be quite the feat.
When is Kelati going to make her marathon debut? That I would love to see as well.
idk how she is going to do and she is obviously getting older but she took a huge break of essentially no running to have kids/career/marriage and then was actually lower mileage than most women of her caliber (~70 miles per week only and at sea level).
now that's she's moved out to Utah she says Ed Eyestone has her running higher mileage than she has since 2021. Not sure how much it is but not like it's suddenly the 100-20 mpw many others do...
so maybe that's in her favor in terms of longevity but also she said she really could not get healthy this track season and still ran a respectable race at the 10000m Trials in Eugene. dropped out @20 in Orlando bc she was not prepared for the heat.
what's interesting is comparing her to Sara Hall who is ~2 yrs older and trains at high (and higher) altitude pretty much year round and has raced uninterrupted throughout her career (minus a stretch of injury a few years back that had her reworking her entire stride pattern) and had a strong 5th place showing at the Trials in Orlando.
You don’t have to wonder what her mileage is at. It’s open source on Strava:
