The biggest longshot who will make the 2024 US Olympic Marathon team will be...

How are so few people picking Young when he's almost a minute ahead of the third runner in marathons this cycle? I feel like this is the first time he's been consistently healthy for a full year since going pro. Have we even seen his best?

Ryan MF Cutter

Anna Rohrer

Exactly, hard to see/guess his best since he hasn't been racing much. He should be there.

colin bennie

Not picking him as a long shot because he’s one of the top 3 favorites.

Zach Herriott

I have no idea how qualification works for the men since we don't have enough time qualifiers, but I think top 3 will be: Mantz, Rupp, Fauble. Mantz is clearly the best right now, Rupp is just a gamer, and I think all those good Boston runs finally work in Fauble's favor in the Trials environment. So I guess Fauble is my long shot pick? Despite only being ranked 5th on time? Idk. Not a very deep field.

On the women's side, I'll go with Sisson, Saina, and Keira. There won't be any surprises. Those three are simply too good. Maybe Seidel is my long shot based on her recent lack of performances.

Would be a very quiet comeback story but not sure a 2:30 PR is gonna cut it.

Habtamu Cheney for the win in Alphafly ones

LAURA THWEATT

Is this the marathon where Gwen Jorgensen is supposed to win gold -- if so I pick her.

Yes, but biggest "longshot" to make the team is going to be the person who made the cutoff for the trials by 1 second and has virtually zero chance of making the team.
That poster (sanchobaile) is pointing out that we're only talking about the people who have an actual chance of making the team, but are "dark horses" and NOT generally expected to have any shot whatsoever at top 3.

I think Nell Rojas is going to make the team.

This isn't as hard as most of you are making it out to be. They want to know who the lowest ranked person to qualify for team will be.

Besides overall fitness and talent, what type of runner/racer does best in the marathon trials setting?

I think Sara Vaughn making the team would be a heckuva story. I think she would qualify as a long shot.

There are almost always one or two big surprises on these teams. Who picked Jake Riley four years ago?

Jim Walmsley

Matt Welch, dude can rip