These are pretty good predictions and not far off from my own. I would love to see Lara go 2:08 too.
What at all suggests that Mantz can run 2:06? 2:09 for Mantz.
IF healthy Galen runs 2:05 or 2:06. If the back flares up 2:10 or DNF. People forget the guy ran 2:06 just two years ago in 75 DEGREES and HIGH HUMIDITY.
What at all suggests that Mantz can run 2:06? 2:09 for Mantz.
IF healthy Galen runs 2:05 or 2:06. If the back flares up 2:10 or DNF. People forget the guy ran 2:06 just two years ago in 75 DEGREES and HIGH HUMIDITY.
Well, he ran 2:08:16 in his debut one year ago with not great pacing, his training has been solid with many of his workouts geared toward 4:48-4:50 per mile pace, and he’s been solid on the road on heavy legs, including the 27:58 at Beach to Beacon. I believe he was training through New Haven, could be wrong. Anyway, just expecting him to be better in his third marathon now, and the weather looks good. 2:06:38.
What at all suggests that Mantz can run 2:06? 2:09 for Mantz.
IF healthy Galen runs 2:05 or 2:06. If the back flares up 2:10 or DNF. People forget the guy ran 2:06 just two years ago in 75 DEGREES and HIGH HUMIDITY.
Well, he ran 2:08:16 in his debut one year ago with not great pacing, his training has been solid with many of his workouts geared toward 4:48-4:50 per mile pace, and he’s been solid on the road on heavy legs, including the 27:58 at Beach to Beacon. I believe he was training through New Haven, could be wrong. Anyway, just expecting him to be better in his third marathon now, and the weather looks good. 2:06:38.
That would be a VERY impressive run. Still not convinced on Mantz tho - I'd be very surprised if he goes sub-2:08
Well, he ran 2:08:16 in his debut one year ago with not great pacing, his training has been solid with many of his workouts geared toward 4:48-4:50 per mile pace, and he’s been solid on the road on heavy legs, including the 27:58 at Beach to Beacon. I believe he was training through New Haven, could be wrong. Anyway, just expecting him to be better in his third marathon now, and the weather looks good. 2:06:38.
That would be a VERY impressive run. Still not convinced on Mantz tho - I'd be very surprised if he goes sub-2:08
Doesn’t make sense to be “very surprised” by sub-2:08 TBH.
He's been in Flagstaff for a bit, and word on the street is he's extremely fit and is the healthiest he's been in years. Some of the workouts he's been doing are absolutely insane. Just recently he had a long run (not sure how long but it was at least 18 miles) alternating between one mile at 4:40 and one mile at 5:10
That would be a VERY impressive run. Still not convinced on Mantz tho - I'd be very surprised if he goes sub-2:08
Doesn’t make sense to be “very surprised” by sub-2:08 TBH.
I agree. He probably breaks it last year if the pace didn’t go out so slow to begin with and he actually had to pass the pacer and lead a lot of his group.
But, if it’s true that they have a group targeting 1:03:40 at halfway this year, then I’m going to revise my prediction to 2:06:58.
Maybe we need Salazar. Galen and Mo looked pretty fast back in the Olympic 10k. What’s his strategy and coaching style other than doping?
High mileage (120-130 MPW) almost all ran sub 6 and 3 workouts a week(long run had tempo stuff in it), big emphasis on sprinting. The workouts could get VERY hard, different than the current threshold training ideas.
My prediction is that Rupp struggles but manages a top-10 finish before failing a doping test post-race. Sure he doesn't have Salazar to help him like he has since high school, but if Rupp makes it across the finish line I will be skeptical that it is a clean performance.
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