Lausanne 1500 prediction

Wait, you’re giving me a hard time for being .25 seconds off Jakob’s winning time and predicting 1. Jakob 2. Nuguse 3. Katir 4. Cheruiyot instead of the actual result that had Nuguse and Katir swapped? Really?

I was 3rd out of 53 in the Oslo fantasy league contest:

hpr.github.io

Fantasy Oslo '23

Open link

gtfoh Innoculateur!

What is important is the pacemaking. It doesn´t matter so much if the field is strong or not since Jakob without doubt will do the frontrunning after the last pacemaker drops out.

The weather is more important. The forecast says rain and rather chilly BUT light wind.

If the rain stops before the race begins it could be perfect conditions since rain oxygenates the air (I ran one of my best veteran 800m runs after rain).

All the competitors withdrawing scared of Yakob hahahahaha

You really expect him to knock nearly 2 seconds off his PR?

1. Jakob 3:27.65
2. Kerr 3:29.95
3. Girma 3:30.30
4. Gourley 3:30.50
5. Giles 3:30.70
6. Lemi 3:30.80
7. McSweyn 3:31.40
8. Tanner 3:31.50

Josh Kerr?

I'm making fun of the fanboys liking/disliking posts thinking it will change the final result.
Girma gave the impression of jogging yesterday.

1. Jakob 3:25.65
2. Kerr 3:27.95
3. Gourley 3:28.50
4. Giles 3:29.70
5. McSweyn 3:30.40
6. Tanner 3:30.50

----------
12. Girma 3:40.30
16. Lemi 3:41.80

Am there now. Not looking promising for Friday.

Honestly no he didn’t, he gave the impression of almost losing to Mills, Nader and Mphahlele in a 3:33 race.

In a world without doping, then I'd agree with you 100%.

Why? Do you think the non-Africans have superior genetics, or just a better work ethic?

You link a video from 2020?

You are living in the medieval age.

Put some glasses and look closely how he run in Ostrava ... and how he was changing of pace without apparent effort.

Here is your video and look how he moved at this time:

https://i.imgur.com/ukS75SL.jpg

2021 actually, outdoors, when you want to be in peak form; I could just as well say your Birmingham race is no longer relevant. He did run 3:30.07 two weeks ago.

Girma ran the last 300 in Ostrava 43.19, which is 3:35.95 pace. He wouldn’t have won if the other 3 hadn’t struggled in the last 150.

And doping slows down Jakob by two seconds?

I was def thinking same thing

Have a feeling and some insider intel it's not going to be the night for it.

1) The weather - which in reality for the duration of the race, as long as it's not hammering down and windy, isn't that big of a deal - is a big deal for the warmup/mental approach.

2) The field. With Wightman out, none of the main OAC guys, Katir, (Tim C?) - it's a good field but not an elite field.

3) Jakob has a 3 year deal with Lausanne underway - 150 bills to start there for the next 3 years. This doesn't mean he won't/can't run fast there but it does make it slightly different from a meet which he might specifically pick to chase a fast time (ie. with the slightly diminished field in this one he ordinarily might not choose this to race). I think it alters the mindset a bit.

I think we will see the pace even slightly slower than Oslo (maybe 1.52.5/1.53) and Jakob uses it as "tactical execution" practice for Budapest. If he hits 800 in that high 1.52/low 1.53 zone then it's probably 2.48 high at 1200 which set's up for something in the 3.30.low's and maybe just under 3.30 if he feels good. Put it this way, I think this race we see something similar to the execution of the Rabat race - only difference being a slightly quicker opening 2 laps.

As a white guy I would have run much faster in high school if it weren't for African people doping.