He could run sub 2:08 and win if the weather is perfect. He is still a year younger then Bekele when he ran 2:01 in Berlin(after a long time been injured)
Hi, I am close friends with a runner in the pro field of the nyc marathon. An up-to-date list of all running in the elite mens race was sent out yesterday to athletes, coaches, and managers. According to that list Mantz is not running but this maybe subject to change as the list is not final. Cheers :)
Hi, I am close friends with a runner in the pro field of the nyc marathon. An up-to-date list of all running in the elite mens race was sent out yesterday to athletes, coaches, and managers. According to that list Mantz is not running but this maybe subject to change as the list is not final. Cheers :)
Yeah. This pretty much nails it. He’s pretty predictable at this stage of his career. A healthy Rupp runs 2:10, maybe a little faster on a tough course like NYC, or drops at 19 miles. On a fast course like Chicago, he can still go sub 2:07. Reminds me of Pearl Jam. Very good… always predictable. You know what their new album is going to sound like before it comes out.
IIRC, Rupp only DNF'd the 2018 Boston where about 1/3 of the male elite field DNFd due to weather.
He's had gritty non winning, non PR finishes at 2018 Chicago where he ran through an Achilles issue, 2021 Tokyo Olympics where he survived the heat to finish 9th, and 2022 Eugene WCs where he finished 19th.
If he starts NYC, he'll probably finish between 2:09-2:11. Odds of a DNF are pretty low.
I think Rupp will run 3 more marathons after NYC. 2023 Boston. 2024 Oly Trials. 2024 Paris.
After that he retires from competition and takes on some sort of athlete development position with Nike
IIRC, Rupp only DNF'd the 2018 Boston where about 1/3 of the male elite field DNFd due to weather.
He's had gritty non winning, non PR finishes at 2018 Chicago where he ran through an Achilles issue, 2021 Tokyo Olympics where he survived the heat to finish 9th, and 2022 Eugene WCs where he finished 19th.
If he starts NYC, he'll probably finish between 2:09-2:11. Odds of a DNF are pretty low.
I think Rupp will run 3 more marathons after NYC. 2023 Boston. 2024 Oly Trials. 2024 Paris.
After that he retires from competition and takes on some sort of athlete development position with Nike
He also was a DNF in Chicago 2019. That was like a week after Alberto was banned so not sure how much that played into it. Hasay also dropped out of that race not long after 5k in and I remember passing her and seeing her crying as she was running like 7 minute pace.
Yeah. This pretty much nails it. He’s pretty predictable at this stage of his career. A healthy Rupp runs 2:10, maybe a little faster on a tough course like NYC, or drops at 19 miles. On a fast course like Chicago, he can still go sub 2:07. Reminds me of Pearl Jam. Very good… always predictable. You know what their new album is going to sound like before it comes out.
IIRC, Rupp only DNF'd the 2018 Boston where about 1/3 of the male elite field DNFd due to weather.
He's had gritty non winning, non PR finishes at 2018 Chicago where he ran through an Achilles issue, 2021 Tokyo Olympics where he survived the heat to finish 9th, and 2022 Eugene WCs where he finished 19th.
If he starts NYC, he'll probably finish between 2:09-2:11. Odds of a DNF are pretty low.
I think Rupp will run 3 more marathons after NYC. 2023 Boston. 2024 Oly Trials. 2024 Paris.
After that he retires from competition and takes on some sort of athlete development position with Nike
I agree with this poster. That'll be pretty much how it plays out for the next 2 years.
As for his time, if the weather is truly decent, I believe he'll be top 3 and break 2:08. If it's windy and warm, sub 2:10
In pre-race presser he says his buildup has gone great, never better in fact. Finishes 4th, behind Chebet, Korir, and either Kibet or True. Second American either way. Runs 2:11. In post-race presser he blames something in his buildup.
Hi, I am close friends with a runner in the pro field of the nyc marathon. An up-to-date list of all running in the elite mens race was sent out yesterday to athletes, coaches, and managers. According to that list Mantz is not running but this maybe subject to change as the list is not final. Cheers :)
Seems that is likely the case.
Mantz is not running NYC. It’s likely that he’ll run Valencia if everything goes well over three weeks.
Ruppppp haters for years have talked about how he will DNF before he races. Let's just say, he rarely fails to finish a race. Boston in the rain? Many people did not finish that day.
Didn't he also DNF at the NYC Half? He hasn't been himself in a while. It's always astonishing to me how fervent people can be about athletes. It wasn't that long ago that people on these boards were saying he was capable of breaking 2:03, you guys are completely crazy. A 2:10 would be a very good result for him on this course, he may go a little faster but I wouldn't bet on it.
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