Men's 1500 is almost here. Who you got?

Kessler is in. His progression curve has been ridiculous and hasn't shown signs of slowing yet. I think he is in 3:30/3:31 shape and an olympic medal threat. I think the final will be a fast race and race positioning will be less of a factor.

Kessler will be the biggest anti-climax in that race after Centro.

Hocker, Nuguse and Engels qualify, the rest goes home.

I just found the heat sheet here:

https://www.flipsnack.com/USATF/usot-start-lists-day-7/full-view.html

Is that really the only place to find that info? AT a minimum, USATF should have a clickable link on the schedule of events.

8minpace wrote

"Centro wins over Engels, Nuguse third. There aren’t many participants on the start list who would “surprise” me by making it though.

1. Centro 3:32.68

2. Engels 3:32.91

3. Nuguse 3:33.24

4. Hocker 3:33.61

Afterward, Centro finally breaks 3:30 in Europe this summer, Engels runs 3:31 and Nuguse hits 1:45.low. Hocker returns to win NCAA XC in the fall, and runs 13:05 and 3:30 as a 20 year old. "

-------------

This is true patriotism! You have great confidence in 31 year old Centro who set his PB at 25!

I am more positive on Hocker but I don´t think he can run 13:05 and 3:30 this year.

I doubt very much Engels at 27 can better his PB with 3 seconds. If he did it would be suspicious!

1. centro

2. engels

3. hocker

4. nuguse

5. wynne

6. kessler

7. avila

bannned i got wrote:

rojo wrote:

Read our preview here.

https://www.letsrun.com/news/2021/06/2020-olympic-trials-m1500-preview-centro-engels-hocker-nuguse-kessler-this-is-gonna-be-good/

the final will be slow as balls, 3:45 or so with a 51-52 last 400. everyone will jizz themselves as if it was something special. this gives hobbs a legit chance to win though. the smart runners should see this and do that 700 meter drain and drop a 1:46, but they wont. so there will be like 7 in contention and a mass sh*t show in the last 10 meters....and there will be headlines of so and so and so and so go home devastated, when in reality 3:45 is embarrassing so they deserve to go home

having just come from an SH thread, i am starting to get seriously concerned that someone on LRC genuinely knows their sh1t. That would definitely explain the handle.

rojo wrote:

Read our preview here.

https://www.letsrun.com/news/2021/06/2020-olympic-trials-m1500-preview-centro-engels-hocker-nuguse-kessler-this-is-gonna-be-good/

“Who you have got”

????!?!

In a 3:33-4 race with Centro coming into the bell lap in 1st place I have Engels Nuguse Centro 1-3 with Hocker giving up too much space for runners of this caliber to catch them.

Nuguse finishes top 3 if he doesn't lead the race for sure.

I got Kessler finishing in 7-9th with a 3:37 due to wearing adidas.

1. Centro

2. Engels

3. Hocker

4. Wynne

5. Nuguse

pupil3142 wrote:

bannned i got wrote:

the final will be slow as balls, 3:45 or so with a 51-52 last 400. everyone will jizz themselves as if it was something special. this gives hobbs a legit chance to win though. the smart runners should see this and do that 700 meter drain and drop a 1:46, but they wont. so there will be like 7 in contention and a mass sh*t show in the last 10 meters....and there will be headlines of so and so and so and so go home devastated, when in reality 3:45 is embarrassing so they deserve to go home

having just come from an SH thread, i am starting to get seriously concerned that someone on LRC genuinely knows their sh1t. That would definitely explain the handle.

++

Mark it down:

Sam Prakal will make it. He is coming off a few good races and just ran a 1:46 800.

Slow race and he outkicks a few guys

ehehh wrote:

Is that really the only place to find that info?

No. There are at least two places on the USATF Trials website where you can find the heat sheets. You can get to them by clicking the link to "Start Lists" on the main page. You can also find them by clicking the "Results Tracker" link near the top of the same page. If you click through to the race, you'll see the heat breakdown.

Dion Marquise Hayes will make the final and could be on the Olympic team.

I think the Top 3 is an easy one to call here. I like Centro, Engels and Hocker to make the team. If I had to pick a winner, I'd go with Centro, but he can be outkicked by the other two in a soft race.

If they want to beat Centro they’ll go balls to wall from the gun. Centro can’t run 3:33. They won’t though because Americans are sissy wimps. It’ll be won in 3:55 and Centro will blow their doors the last 200. I heard it’s supposed to be hot for the final too. So they may not even break 4:00. 75 first lap, 75 second lap. 60 third lap, then 33-34 seconds for the last 300. Good old American distance running. Slower than frosh soph meets in high school.

I'm very confident Centro will make the team. Not necessarily betting on him to win, but I don't really see a case where he's not top 3.

Then 2 spots up for grabs that will be a mix of Engels/Hocker/Nuguse.

Kessler, better luck in 3 years. This isn't your time.

John Wesley Harding wrote:

1. Matt Centrowitz 3:33.0 [39.8]

2. Cole Hocker 3:33.2 [40.2]

3. Yared Nuguse 3:33.4 [40.5]

4. Craig Engels 3:33.7 [40.2]

5. Josh Thompson 3:34.8 [41.0]

6. Waleed Suliman 3:35.0 [41.1]

7. Johnny Gregorek 3:35.6 [42.3]

8. Sam Prakel 3:36.0 [41.8]

9. Henry Wynne 3:36.7 [42.1]

10. Hobbs Kessler 3:36.8 [41.7]

11. Colby Alexander 3:37.2 [42.2]

12. Brannon Kidder 3:40.5 [44.7]

400 - Hocker 56.9

800 - Hocker 1:54.9

1200 - Nuguse 2:52.9

No one is running 3:30 in the US Olympic trials final.

seasoned ranker wrote:

John Wesley Harding wrote:

1. Matt Centrowitz 3:33.0 [39.8]

2. Cole Hocker 3:33.2 [40.2]

3. Yared Nuguse 3:33.4 [40.5]

4. Craig Engels 3:33.7 [40.2]

5. Josh Thompson 3:34.8 [41.0]

6. Waleed Suliman 3:35.0 [41.1]

7. Johnny Gregorek 3:35.6 [42.3]

8. Sam Prakel 3:36.0 [41.8]

9. Henry Wynne 3:36.7 [42.1]

10. Hobbs Kessler 3:36.8 [41.7]

11. Colby Alexander 3:37.2 [42.2]

12. Brannon Kidder 3:40.5 [44.7]

400 - Hocker 56.9

800 - Hocker 1:54.9

1200 - Nuguse 2:52.9

No one is running 3:30 in the US Olympic trials final.

I can't read - apologies!!

I think it'll be super slow because everyone is over confident in their kick. I got Engels, then Hocker, then Centro!