Seth James DeMoor is FIT, ready to break 1:05 next week

kmaclam wrote:

SJDobserver wrote:

Bookmark this post. He will go out too hard and rig the last 4 miles. Hope I'm wrong

If he does, it looks like he'll have company as Parker Stinson is registered. ...Only other names I recognized are Will Cross and Kurt Roeser, both capable of a 1:06.

Nice catch. Here is what I came up with, looking at bibs with a low number:

Bib #........Name...........PB....................Oly Trials

1..............P. Stinson.....2:10:53

5............K. Roesser......2:18:00........2:24:08

11.........S. Martinez....2:18:00........2:20:10

13............N. French.......2:18:44........2:36:17

15...........J. Werble.....FAU Grad, his 1st Half

#16 and #20 are older Masters prob seeded too high

#23.........S. DeMoor

29..........W. Cross.......2:17:33.........2:21:16

Naples is awesome in January, absolutely. That wave start will make it a little harder for Seth to hit his time goal though. He said before in his vlog that he chose this race because he wanted to just tuck in to a pack and race others, which seems unlikely to happen with the guidelines put in place. I wouldn't travel that far to likely end up doing something I could have done on a bike path, particularly with the added risk of COVID, but I also don't have a daily vlog as my primary source of income and several kids to feed.

The weather looks good and the course is fast. If I were to bet I'd take the over though if the hypothetical line was set at 65 minutes.

JoggyHobber wrote:

covid superspreader wrote:

Because COVID? I think the real question is whether he will catch the virus on this trip. My money is on yes.

Oh no and he’ll be completely fine

He had more than a 1 in 10 chance of catching it. Basically his chances of catching covid are higher than his chances of running a sub 1:05.

holpin wrote:

kmaclam wrote:

If he does, it looks like he'll have company as Parker Stinson is registered. ...Only other names I recognized are Will Cross and Kurt Roeser, both capable of a 1:06.

Nice catch. Here is what I came up with, looking at bibs with a low number:

Bib #........Name...........PB....................Oly Trials

1..............P. Stinson.....2:10:53

5............K. Roesser......2:18:00........2:24:08

11.........S. Martinez....2:18:00........2:20:10

13............N. French.......2:18:44........2:36:17

15...........J. Werble.....FAU Grad, his 1st Half

#16 and #20 are older Masters prob seeded too high

#23.........S. DeMoor

29..........W. Cross.......2:17:33.........2:21:16

Yeah, I did see the other lower bibs but only Roesser & Cross were guys I recognized besides Stinson. I did see both Gene Dykes and Jeannie Rice registered ( the 2 best age graded runners in the U.S.?, In the world?) but I know Jeannie has been down lately with the rare injury and most likely won't start. Lindsay Flanagan looks like the class of the women's field. Pezz is in there too but has got to be pushing close to 40 these days? Lots of other O.T. qualifiers for the women but none look the caliber of Flanagan. Hopefully she'll settle in with some men to run with.

He will run 1:06: xx and then post a rambling 14 minute vlog the following day . Highlights will include:

"I am disappointed but,..."

"I felt like I was in 1:04 shape but..."

"It was warmer and more humid than I am used to..."

"I was hoping to start with Parker Stinson but, these things don't always work out. I know. I'm just saying that if I could've run with Parker..."

"I dropped my wave partners by two miles and it was a really long solo effort..."

"Here's where I think things started to fall apart, oh!... viking72 says. "You're still my hero!" and he's rocking the butter my bread and tea mug emojis! Thanks, viking72! You are my hero for being part of the SJD Global Running fam!..."

This is spot-on, but let's remember, his channel and his journey is about experimentation. He is experimenting with training and racing. And sometimes it will go tremendously well, and sometimes it will fall flat. Listen, he didn't train for going through the Half at Amsterdam in 1:06... it was a by-product of a great training cycle and although he suffered a massive crash, it was a big breakthrough. Same with Pikes Peak. He won big with unconventional training and experimenting with everything. I applaud him for lining up and giving the effort. The same cannot be said for many.

Banned in 60 Seconds wrote:

He will run 1:06: xx and then post a rambling 14 minute vlog the following day . Highlights will include:

"I am disappointed but,..."

"I felt like I was in 1:04 shape but..."

"It was warmer and more humid than I am used to..."

"I was hoping to start with Parker Stinson but, these things don't always work out. I know. I'm just saying that if I could've run with Parker..."

"I dropped my wave partners by two miles and it was a really long solo effort..."

"Here's where I think things started to fall apart, oh!... viking72 says. "You're still my hero!" and he's rocking the butter my bread and tea mug emojis! Thanks, viking72! You are my hero for being part of the SJD Global Running fam!..."

Banned in 60 Seconds wrote:

He will run 1:06: xx and then post a rambling 14 minute vlog the following day . Highlights will include:

"I am disappointed but,..."

"I felt like I was in 1:04 shape but..."

"It was warmer and more humid than I am used to..."

"I was hoping to start with Parker Stinson but, these things don't always work out. I know. I'm just saying that if I could've run with Parker..."

"I dropped my wave partners by two miles and it was a really long solo effort..."

"Here's where I think things started to fall apart, oh!... viking72 says. "You're still my hero!" and he's rocking the butter my bread and tea mug emojis! Thanks, viking72! You are my hero for being part of the SJD Global Running fam!..."

Whiners gonna whine.

Covid superspreader wrote:

JoggyHobber wrote:

Oh no and he’ll be completely fine

He had more than a 1 in 10 chance of catching it. Basically his chances of catching covid are higher than his chances of running a sub 1:05.

I'll take that bet. I say 1:04:XX AND that he doesn't contract covid. In either order. I believe in horse racing parlance that would be an exacta box.

Banned in 60 Seconds wrote:

He will run 1:06: xx and then post a rambling 14 minute vlog the following day . Highlights will include:

"I am disappointed but,..."

"I felt like I was in 1:04 shape but..."

"It was warmer and more humid than I am used to..."

"I was hoping to start with Parker Stinson but, these things don't always work out. I know. I'm just saying that if I could've run with Parker..."

"I dropped my wave partners by two miles and it was a really long solo effort..."

"Here's where I think things started to fall apart, oh!... viking72 says. "You're still my hero!" and he's rocking the butter my bread and tea mug emojis! Thanks, viking72! You are my hero for being part of the SJD Global Running fam!..."

100%.

1:06 was my call and this is why.