Hot Takes wrote:
Way late here. But let's say we can import something from China for $100 a unit or we can make it here for $110 a unit. At the moment, retailers are better off importing from China as they have better profit margins. The United States then loses $100 per unit because that money leaves the country. If you do a 15% tariff, it's now $115 to import (China gets their cut, the middle-man importing has to pay the other $15). At this point, it's better to just stick with the stuff made here which is $110. So the price of this thing to consumers will go up 10%, BUT that money stays in the United States so it's a net positive. I'm not sure how to figure out though if it's better for consumers to have something slightly cheaper, or have more jobs here and keep the money in our economy. It's kind of like the whole argument 'shop local'... Tariffs encourage 'shop local'. Except it's funny that the whole shop local thing is often liberals who are against large companies that offer lower prices, and now the tariff discussion is republicans trying to 'shop local' at a larger level and it's the democrats who think it's dumb.
This assumes we can produce it here and we want to produce it here.
Your scenario is WAY more realistic if you say the good can be made for $10 in China or $110 in USA. So with a tariff the consumer will now pay 12-15 dollars, and we still don't make it domestically.